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Demographics Now and Then

@dem0graphics

On this record: Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry

3,860subscribers

+5 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1002086884994
TypeChannel
Username@dem0graphics
Created9 December 2023measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live6 September 2026
Measurements held9
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 6 September 2026
On Telegramt.me/dem0graphics

Growth

3,8543,8603,8577 August 2026 — 3,855 subscribers7 August 2026 — 3,855 subscribers10 August 2026 — 3,859 subscribers13 August 2026 — 3,858 subscribers16 August 2026 — 3,855 subscribers23 August 2026 — 3,854 subscribers26 August 2026 — 3,856 subscribers1 September 2026 — 3,855 subscribers6 September 2026 — 3,860 subscribers7 August 20266 September 2026
9 measurements spanning 30 days, net +5. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 3,853–3,861 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
6 Sept 2026, 11:163,860+5
1 Sept 2026, 16:473,855-1
26 Aug 2026, 18:493,856+2
23 Aug 2026, 12:583,854-1
16 Aug 2026, 21:283,855-3
13 Aug 2026, 07:483,858-1
10 Aug 2026, 07:423,859+4
7 Aug 2026, 17:073,855no change
7 Aug 2026, 11:463,855first reading

Engagement

20 posts held, back to 5 July 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 4 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 20 posts for this entry, the most recent from 7 August 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.

Reaction mix

1,333 reactions across 20 posts, in 40 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 17.9% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
😢23817.9%
🎉17313.0%
🔥15311.5%
👍1148.55%
🤣685.10%
😭654.88%
👌503.75%
😱463.45%
🤮453.38%
😁403.00%
🥴392.93%
👀382.85%
💩332.48%
292.18%
🤔272.03%
261.95%
👏251.88%
🙏181.35%
🤬151.13%
🥰141.05%
20 further kinds775.78%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 20 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 1,333 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 5 July 2026 to 7 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

7 Aug 2026, 19:41 UTC599 views13 reactionsread 8 August 2026

Many of the high TFR remote Pacific islands like Tonga also have high emigration levels. So if their TFRs crash to replacement they are toast. Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), with a TFR close to replacement, experiences huge emigration as does the Marshall Islands (though their TFR is above 2.5). Samoa also has high emigration while their fertility rate has fallen to below 2.5. Small states to shrink to not

8🤔2👍1🔥1😢1

6 Aug 2026, 03:53 UTC≈1,110 views78 reactionsread 8 August 2026

While mainly a discussion point amongst more niche demographic communities at present, the African fertility collapse to be visable to all by the 2030s. In West, East, & Central Africa TFR likely to fall below 3.5 by mid 2030s. Will be below replacement in all of North & Southern Africa. https://x.com/ulmer62336950/status/2084712951802450141

🎉54🙏9😢5👍4🤔32🤩1

6 Aug 2026, 03:40 UTC≈1,120 views112 reactionsread 8 August 2026
Photo

🇿🇦 👶 South Africa now below their replacement level fertility rate of 2.15. Expect many many more countries in Sub Saharan Africa to follow. Sub Saharan Africa’s population will not come close to 2.5B let alone 4B.

👌48🎉39🔥12😢5🙏5🤔21

2 Aug 2026, 00:17 UTC≈1,860 views64 reactionsread 8 August 2026
Photo

On this note Kyrgyzstan may overtake Ukraine in births despite having less than 1/3rd the population. When the Soviet Union collapsed Ukraine had ~52 million people and Kyrgyzstan~4.5M. Today Kyrgyzstan has ~7M people and Ukraine ~28M.

🤣23😱17🤬10🤮5👍4🎉2😡2🤔1

2 Aug 2026, 00:17 UTC≈1,630 views32 reactionsread 8 August 2026

Where populations of the former Soviet Republics are likely to be in 2040 versus 1989 is very interesting. Particularly Belarus (10.2M 1989 to ~8M in 2040) vs Azerbaijan (~7M 1989 to 10.3M in 2040), & Georgia (5.45M 1989 to 3.6M 2040) vs Tajikistan (5.1M 1989 to 13.5M 2040).

🤮17🍌5😁5🤬41

24 Jul 2026, 19:07 UTC≈3,060 views75 reactionsread 8 August 2026

Urban areas face a dark irony: City culture tanked fertility rates, and now low fertility is breaking them.Falling births + remote work = collapsing tax bases.If cities don’t pivot to retaining families, they face ghost schools and fiscal ruin. Basically, around much of the rich world cities engineered a culture without children. Now, it’s killing these areas. Cities must change urban culture to make it easier for y

🤣36🔥19👍86💯4😁1😢1

24 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC≈1,930 views44 reactionsread 8 August 2026

Birthrate crisis to fundamentally change global finance. JP Morgan declared 40-year era of cheap borrowing is dead. World physically running out of labor pools just as many governments abandon fiscal discipline. As populations age interest rates face permanent upward pressure. The global demographic crisis will obviously upend a whole lot. Aging populations are spiking pension & healthcare costs. Defense, energ

👍33🤣5🔥2😭21🤔1

22 Jul 2026, 21:28 UTC≈1,970 views58 reactionsread 8 August 2026

From 2026-2035, China will shed nearly 60 million people, losing the population of Italy in less than a decade. You cannot grow a domestic, consumer-driven retail market when the total target consumer base is shrinking by millions of citizens every year.https://rhg.com/research/chinas-demographic-future/

😭28🔥12🎉9🌚3🤔3👌2😁1

22 Jul 2026, 20:54 UTC≈1,580 views102 reactionsread 8 August 2026
Photo

According to OpenDataBot in first half of 2026 there’s been only 73,292 births in Ukraine,while the number of deaths so far number 259,853. This is a significant 10%+ fall in births over the same period of 2025. Remember in 2025 fertility rate in Ukraine was no higher than 1.2. While many sources say Ukrainian TFR in 2025 was only 0.72 or so personally doubt this as the number of women aged 18-45 in the country wa

😢47😭23🎉19😁5💯3🍾2😨2😍1

21 Jul 2026, 20:38 UTC≈1,830 views86 reactionsread 8 August 2026

If China’s current sub 1.0 fertility rate becomes the baseline norm, six people will die for every single newborn in the country’s subsequent generations. China is effectively losing the sheer human mass required to sustain their domestic society & consumer economy… China has a very small window to turn this around. From everything I’ve seen teased there are no natalist measures in the pipeline that will dramatical

👍36🔥16🎉14😭12🤣41🏆1💯1

17 Jul 2026, 01:43 UTC≈2,660 views80 reactionsread 8 August 2026

For the 1st time in American history, U.S. birth rate for women aged 40–44 (at 12.7 per 1,000) has officially surpassed the teen birth rate ages 15–19 which is 12.6 per 1,000. In contrast to the highest birthing cohort (women aged 30-34) which is 93.7 per 1,000. Women aged 45-49 had a birth rate of just 1.1 per 1,000. Source CDC NVSS.

🥴38🤮18🔥11🤯6🤔4👍3

17 Jul 2026, 01:42 UTC≈2,630 views44 reactionsread 8 August 2026

Laos is getting close to replacement & will likely be at or below it by 2030 along with Cambodia. Tiny East Timor will be the last one standing above replacement in Southeast Asia by 2030, & that is if they are very lucky. https://x.com/divideetimpera5/status/2076663191250092117

🔥217👍6😢5🤩2🥱21

Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @dem0graphics. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels

The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.

/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
@CIG_telegram · 115,744
Telegram ranks this channel #41 of 70 here — alongside 69 others — read 14 August 2026
NekoX Updates
@NekogramX · 57,524
Telegram ranks this channel #46 of 56 here — alongside 55 others — read 30 August 2026
War Noir
@war_noir · 53,345
Telegram ranks this channel #75 of 75 here — alongside 74 others — read 24 August 2026

This channel appears in 3 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 6 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Demographics Now and Then” (@dem0graphics), 3,860 subscribers as measured 6 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/dem0graphics.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.