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Channel

Macro Kraken 🐙📈

@macro_kraken

On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry

14,327subscribers

-21,028 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001166583813
TypeChannel
Username@macro_kraken
CreatedBetween 1 April 2018 and 31 July 2021 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live5 September 2026
Measurements held26
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 5 September 2026
On Telegramt.me/macro_kraken

Topic

Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 99% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Observations

These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.

Content that also appears on other registered channels

Posts published here appear word for word on 1 other registered channel. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.

Matching posts — open both and compare (6 of the pairs behind the counts below)
Posted firstThenOverlapGap
@nurx_fx/369884 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24491 · this entry4 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@macro_kraken/24504 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC@nurx_fx/370025 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@nurx_fx/370046 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24506 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 07:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@macro_kraken/24507 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC@nurx_fx/370056 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@nurx_fx/370066 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24508 · this entry6 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC1.00under a minute
@nurx_fx/370097 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC@macro_kraken/24511 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC1.00under a minute
Every channel this entry shares post bodies with
ChannelMatching postsText overlapTypical gapPublished first
@nurx_fx12 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed)1.00under a minutethis entry (84)

Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.

What this cannot establish

MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.

Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 2 of the 3 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.

“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 15 comparable posts for this entry, running 4 August 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.

The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.

  • Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
  • 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
  • shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
  • Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).

Across the whole group of 2, the earliest publisher we hold is @nurx_fx. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.

Views per post sit far above this size band

9,520 average views per post against 14,327 subscribers — an engagement rate of 66.4%. Across the 7,634 registered channels in the same cohort — 10,003–31,619 subscribers, posting mainly in English — the middle half sit between 2.36% and 13.7%, with a median of 6.32%.

What this was computed from
Window30 days (8 August 2026 7 September 2026)
Posts measured84 of 84 published in the window (1 exact, 83 rounded by Telegram)
Views totalled799,675
Mature posts only67.9% over 81 posts read at least 24h after publication
Subscribers14,327 measured 5 September 2026
Cohortb10000:eng · 7,634 channels · p10 0.665% · p25 2.36% · p50 6.32% · p75 13.7% · p90 24.6%
Position in cohort99.096th percentile · 10.5× the cohort median
Uncertainty±0.203% of the figure, from Telegram’s rounding
Post languageEnglish · 100.0% of the window’s posts

When this is recorded. A channel is listed here only when its engagement rate sits at or above the 99th percentile of its cohort and is at least 3× away from that cohort’s median — above it — on both the all-readings figure and the mature-only figure. The percentile alone would be circular: a percentile cut puts the same share of every cohort in the tail whatever the data looks like. The distance from the median is what makes it a statement about this channel.

This is not a verdict, and the direction is not a quality signal. A low rate has many innocent causes — audiences that read in the Telegram app without opening the channel, a subscriber base built long before the current output, an audience in a different timezone from our reading. A high rate has innocent causes too: a post that travelled far beyond the channel’s own subscribers will do it. We publish the measurement and the distribution it sits in. The full cohort baselines are downloadable, so this comparison can be reproduced rather than trusted.

Recorded under the keys clone_source · err_high, last confirmed 7 September 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.

Also posting the same content

This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 1 other registered channel, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.

Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.

Growth

14,32735,35524,8417 August 2026 — 35,355 subscribers8 August 2026 — 35,266 subscribers9 August 2026 — 35,135 subscribers10 August 2026 — 35,036 subscribers11 August 2026 — 34,894 subscribers12 August 2026 — 34,788 subscribers13 August 2026 — 34,678 subscribers14 August 2026 — 34,531 subscribers16 August 2026 — 34,364 subscribers17 August 2026 — 34,206 subscribers18 August 2026 — 34,094 subscribers19 August 2026 — 24,993 subscribers20 August 2026 — 19,007 subscribers21 August 2026 — 18,654 subscribers23 August 2026 — 18,274 subscribers25 August 2026 — 15,033 subscribers26 August 2026 — 14,960 subscribers27 August 2026 — 14,903 subscribers28 August 2026 — 14,849 subscribers29 August 2026 — 14,791 subscribers30 August 2026 — 14,725 subscribers31 August 2026 — 14,656 subscribers1 September 2026 — 14,593 subscribers2 September 2026 — 14,516 subscribers3 September 2026 — 14,433 subscribers5 September 2026 — 14,327 subscribers7 August 20265 September 2026
26 measurements spanning 29 days, net -21,028. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 11,173–38,509 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 26
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
5 Sept 2026, 05:5714,327-106
3 Sept 2026, 12:1914,433-83
2 Sept 2026, 05:1314,516-77
1 Sept 2026, 01:4714,593-63
31 Aug 2026, 04:1314,656-69
30 Aug 2026, 06:3614,725-66
29 Aug 2026, 03:0714,791-58
28 Aug 2026, 01:1414,849-54
27 Aug 2026, 00:1714,903-57
26 Aug 2026, 02:2414,960-73
25 Aug 2026, 01:3615,033-3,241
23 Aug 2026, 12:1718,274-380
21 Aug 2026, 21:1818,654-353
20 Aug 2026, 19:3319,007-5,986
19 Aug 2026, 18:0324,993-9,101
18 Aug 2026, 14:4434,094-112
17 Aug 2026, 14:2734,206-158
16 Aug 2026, 05:2434,364-167
14 Aug 2026, 16:3534,531-147
13 Aug 2026, 07:3634,678first reading

Engagement

103 posts held, back to 4 August 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 56 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
66.4%
avg views ÷ 14,327 subscribers
Avg views / post
9,520
84 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.015%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
84
of 103 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 8 of 84 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 2 September 2026
Posts held103 (4 August 20262 September 2026)
Views total799,675
Reactions total11
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken2 Sept 2026, 18:48 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

Reaction mix

32 reactions across 21 posts, in 3 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 81.3% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
2681.3%
🔥412.5%
👍26.25%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 21 of the 103 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 32 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 103 most recent posts we hold, published 4 August 2026 to 2 September 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

2 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC≈1,340 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🏛 US Yield Curve · 10Y − 3M Current spread: +1.03% Days inverted (last 200d): 0 Read: Curve steepening. Growth expectations reviving. Risk-on friendly for equities and crypto. Why it matters: The 10Y-3M spread inverting has preceded every US recession since 1968 (avg lead 12 months). Its un-inversion frequently marks the recession's actual start. Sources: • 10Y Yield • 3M T-Bill #Macro #YieldCurve #Recession #F

Signed Multi Poster

2 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC≈3,720 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 A Fed rate increase would be a mistake, some observers say as bitcoin, gold, stocks fall CoinDesk 🪙 CrowdStrike and federal authorities dismantle Russian malware that secretly stole crypto for 8 years CoinDesk 🏛 Bitcoin dips to $77.3k as U.S.-Iran fighting, rate jitters weigh Investing.com #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

Signed Multi Poster

2 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC≈6,080 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🪙 Crypto industry urges SEC to avoid blanket novel ETF restrictions Grayscale, a16z, and the CCI asked the SEC to preserve existing classification rules and avoid treating novel exchange-traded products as a single category, while proposing different routes to clearer and faster reviews Source: Cointelegraph #Crypto #News #ETF

Signed Multi Poster

1 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC≈9,090 views1 reactionsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🖥️ Semiconductor cycle · SOXX/SPY Current ratio: 0.6576 1Y range: 0.4433 – 0.7730 Read: Neutral — no strong cycle signal. Why it matters: Semiconductors are the world’s cyclical bellwether — the SOXX/SPY ratio leads global growth by 3-6 months. Source: Yahoo Finance #Stocks #Semiconductors #TechStocks #Macro #SP500

1

Signed Multi Poster

1 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC≈9,320 views1 reactionsread 2 September 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 Bitcoin defies oil price spike and rising Fed hike bets after best August since 2017 The Block 🪙 Bitcoin enters ‘Rektember’ as rate-hike risk combines with seasonality to threaten rally CoinDesk 🏛 Bitcoin steady near $78k as Strategy resumes buying; rate, Iran jitters persist Investing.com #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

1

Signed Multi Poster

1 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC≈7,340 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🪙 Bitfinex Securities lists tokenized notes tied to Strategy, Metaplanet Five equity-backed notes issued through Luxembourg’s ORO II fund will trade against dollars, USDT and Bitcoin for eligible non-US investors Source: Cointelegraph #Crypto #News #Macro

Signed Multi Poster

31 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC≈10,700 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🌐 BTC vs SPX vs Gold · 90d Normalized to 100 at start: • BTC → 122.6 (+22.6%) • SPX → 108.0 (+8.0%) • Gold → 94.3 (-5.7%) Winner 90d: BTC (+22.6%) Read: A gold-leading tape signals macro stress (rate cut bets or geopolitical hedge). BTC leading against both traditional stores of value is a risk-on regime. SPX outperformance means the AI/tech complex still dominates. Sources: • S&P 500 • Gold ETF • Binance #

Signed Multi Poster

31 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC≈10,500 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 Bitcoin ETFs Snap Nine-Day Inflow Streak as Ethereum Funds Extend Their Run Decrypt 🪙 September Fed rate hike fears look overblown as the probability stands at just 58%, not 90% CoinDesk 🏛 Fed up with bitcoin? That’s exactly why you should buy. MarketWatch 🏛 Strategy purchases 4,603 bitcoin Investing.com #News #Markets #Crypto #Macro #Digest

Signed Multi Poster

31 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC≈9,580 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🪙 Markets pivot to September Fed rate hike: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week Bitcoin approached the August monthly close below key resistance with markets once again pricing in a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike in September Source: Cointelegraph #Crypto #News #Bitcoin #Macro

Signed Multi Poster

30 Aug 2026, 17:00 UTC≈9,710 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

😱 Crypto Fear & Greed Current: 69 (Greed) Read: Greedy — rally maturing. Why it matters: The index blends volatility, momentum, dominance, volume, social sentiment and search trends. Extreme readings marked ~80% of local tops and bottoms since 2018. Source: alternative.me #Crypto #FearAndGreed #Sentiment #Bitcoin #Analysis

Signed Multi Poster

30 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC≈11,000 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

📰 Market Digest 🪙 A $1.1 million crypto card hack crashed a neobank's token 49% CoinDesk 🏛 Bitcoin hovers near $78,000 as global ETFs access shapes next adoption wave Investing.com 🪙 After Their AI Models Hacked Real Companies, AI Labs Call for Stronger Cyber Defenses Decrypt 🏛 AI isn’t eating software after all — and the sector’s ‘epic’ rally could run through October MarketWatch #News #Markets

Signed Multi Poster

30 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC≈9,680 viewsread 2 September 2026
Photo

🪙 Polygon discloses security flaws fixed in recent hard forks The vulnerabilities posed denial-of-service and validator resource risks but were patched before Polygon publicly disclosed them Source: Cointelegraph #Crypto #News

Signed Multi Poster

Showing the 12 most recent of 103 posts we hold for @macro_kraken. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Republishes

Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels

The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.

Crypto Banter
@Cryptobantergroup0 · 97,933
Telegram ranks this channel #18 of 67 here — alongside 66 others — read 23 August 2026

This channel appears in 1 seed channel's Telegram-generated recommendation list in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 5 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Macro Kraken 🐙📈” (@macro_kraken), 14,327 subscribers as measured 5 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/macro_kraken.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.