✨✨✨✨📣📣📣📣 13+ 官方矩阵 · 80+ 官方社群 100W+ 用户覆盖 多领域矩阵布局 · 覆盖多元流量场景 多样合作 · 灵活选择 单矩阵|多矩阵|全联盟 滚播广告|置顶广告|聚合广告 品牌宣传|项目推广|引流获客 资源合作|上压担保 商务合作:@yh184

Channel
Polymarket信息分享
@polym8
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Cite this entry
29,088subscribers
-3,314 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001593149911 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @polym8 |
| Created | Between 1 August 2021 and 28 February 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 7 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 1 November 2026 |
| Measurements held | 55 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 1 November 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/polym8 |
Topic
Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 9 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 53% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026, 02:39 | 29,088 | -56 |
| 31 Oct 2026, 04:01 | 29,144 | -87 |
| 30 Oct 2026, 02:48 | 29,231 | -132 |
| 28 Oct 2026, 23:55 | 29,363 | -82 |
| 27 Oct 2026, 20:57 | 29,445 | -46 |
| 26 Oct 2026, 17:49 | 29,491 | -68 |
| 25 Oct 2026, 19:20 | 29,559 | -42 |
| 24 Oct 2026, 18:28 | 29,601 | -146 |
| 23 Oct 2026, 18:47 | 29,747 | -456 |
| 22 Oct 2026, 20:57 | 30,203 | -142 |
| 21 Oct 2026, 18:49 | 30,345 | -59 |
| 20 Oct 2026, 17:48 | 30,404 | -101 |
| 19 Oct 2026, 17:09 | 30,505 | -48 |
| 18 Oct 2026, 16:56 | 30,553 | -43 |
| 17 Oct 2026, 18:41 | 30,596 | -35 |
| 16 Oct 2026, 20:31 | 30,631 | -66 |
| 15 Oct 2026, 19:59 | 30,697 | -105 |
| 14 Oct 2026, 20:30 | 30,802 | -139 |
| 13 Oct 2026, 10:09 | 30,941 | +7,048 |
| 9 Oct 2026, 11:01 | 23,893 | first reading |
Engagement
2,714 posts held, back to 6 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 152 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 6.93%
- avg views ÷ 29,088 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 2,020
- 1,019 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- —
- this channel exposes no reaction counts
- Posts in window
- 1,019
- of 2,714 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 31 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 2,714 (6 August 2026 – 31 October 2026) |
| Views total | 2,055,322 |
| Reactions total | — |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 31 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Video runtime
- 1m 15s
- Average length
- 3s
Measured directly from 25 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Recent posts
🔥热门预测|共和党佛州州长胜选概率64.5%,24小时回落3.5点 佛州州长选举市场里,共和党胜选Yes端现报64.5%,较24小时前的68.0%回落3.5个百分点。No端为35.5%,两端相差29.0个百分点。接下来观察这一多数一侧能否稳住。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🔥热门预测|美联储12月加息25基点概率70.5% 市场对美联储12月会议后加息25个基点的Yes端现报70.5%,No端29.5%,两端相差41个百分点。24小时内Yes端从71.5%降至70.5%,仅回落1个百分点。接下来观察的是这一多数定价能否守住70%附近。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🧠异动解读|西班牙火车事故后桑切斯Yes概率小幅回升 西班牙致命火车事故发生后,市场对桑切斯留任首相的定价出现微弱上调:Yes端从11.3%升至13.4%,24小时上行2.1个百分点。No端仍高达86.6%,两端相差73.2个百分点。事故改变了竞选节奏,但没有改变市场对桑切斯处于明显少数的判断。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🚨重大异动|Anthropic最高估值档概率24小时升13.5点 CNBC报道Anthropic正推进上市,并称其招股文件中的一个数字对投资者是积极信号。对应最高估值档位的市场同步重定价:Yes端从71.0%升至84.5%,24小时上行13.5个百分点;No端现报15.5%。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🔥热门预测|以太坊下探2200美元概率31.5%,24小时持平 以太坊10月26日至11月1日下探2200美元的Yes端现报31.5%,No端68.5%,市场仍把它放在少数一侧。24小时概率持平;Yes端能否脱离31.5%是接下来的观察点。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🔥热门预测|沈伯洋胜选概率升至32%,仍属少数 台北市长选举市场中,沈伯洋胜选Yes端从24小时前的28.4%升至32.0%,上行3.6个百分点。No端现报68.0%,两端相差36.0个百分点。价格小幅上移,但他仍落在明显少数一侧。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🧠异动解读|SpaceX最高IPO市值概率升至55% Anthropic上市推进、彭博称SpaceX最大收入来源为与Anthropic的有限期合同,市场对SpaceX成为2026年最高IPO市值公司的Yes端从50.5%升至55.0%,24小时上行4.5个百分点。No端现报45.0%,两端相差10.0个百分点。Yes仅领先10个百分点,但这次重定价方向向上。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
⚡️快讯|美结束伊朗封锁概率24小时升6.5点至33.0% 针对美国是否会在2026年11月30日前宣布结束对伊朗封锁,市场Yes端现报33.0%,较24小时前的26.5%上升6.5个百分点。No端报67.0%,两端相差34.0个百分点。Yes虽仍处少数,但24小时内的定价已明显上移。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🔥热门预测|勒庞2027胜选定价回落至40.9% 2027年法国总统选举市场里,勒庞胜选Yes端现报40.9%,较24小时前的42.3%下滑1.4个百分点。No端报59.1%,两端相差18.2个百分点。她依然落在少数一侧。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
🧠异动解读|联合托拉犹太教入阁概率升至33.5% 以色列大选计票近尾声,路透称内塔尼亚胡将留任看守总理,对立阵营需谈判组阁。联合托拉犹太教进入下届政府的Yes端从26.5%升至33.5%,24小时上行7.0个百分点;No端现报66.5%。Yes仍处少数,但这次重定价方向明确向上。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184
✨✨✨✨📣📣📣📣📣📣 13+ 官方矩阵 · 80+ 官方社群 100W+ 用户覆盖 🌐 旗下核心矩阵: 1️⃣ 东南亚各国大事件矩阵 ☺️ 东南亚大事件频道 @yhxw1 ☺️各国官方社群 (共计8个社群) ☺️ 东南亚大事件 @dnydsj89 ☺️ 斯里兰卡 @TGDSJ89 ☺️ 老挝特区 @bx6685 ☺️ 柬埔寨 @jpzdsj898 ☺️ 菲律宾 @FLBDSJ89 ☺️ 泰国 @bx6687 ☺️ 缅甸 @bx6682 ☺️ 迪拜 @bx6684 2️⃣ 东南亚大事件矩阵 ☺️官方频道 @bx6680 ☺️官方社群 (共计8个社群) @bx66h @bx66j @bx66i @bx66v @bx66p @bx66g @bx66s @bx66r 3️⃣东南亚曝光吃瓜矩阵 ☺️ 官方频道 @yh105 ☺️ 官方社群 (共计7个社群) @bgcg2 @bgcg9 @bgcg7 @bg…
Showing the 12 most recent of 2,714 posts we hold for @polym8. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Mentions
Named by 10 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
@XRQX1888 · 25,66129 posts云海联盟
@LM667788 · 97,64520 posts电竞赛事分析🎮
@qz8768 · 28,21519 posts生活研究所📅
@bx6683 · 23,36116 posts体育赛事分析⚽️
@tytd2 · 25,43712 posts加密货币crypto资讯
@jmhb1 · 29,19911 posts马达加斯加大事件🇲🇬
@bx66b · 21,9319 posts东南亚曝光吃瓜
@yh105 · 28,1906 posts马来西亚大事件🇲🇾
@mlxy80 · 25,6894 posts东南亚头条·大事件
@bx6680 · 26,9363 posts
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
@LM667788 · 97,6452,341 posts东南亚曝光吃瓜002
@bgcg2 · 3,38359 posts东南亚曝光吃瓜008
@bgcg5 · 2,91559 posts东南亚曝光吃瓜007
@bgcg7 · 2,89059 posts东南亚曝光吃瓜010
@bgcg87 · 3,17059 posts缅甸大事件🇲🇲
@bx6682 · 9,93159 posts生活研究所📅
@bx6683 · 23,36159 posts金三角大事件🇱🇦
@bx6685 · 10,54659 posts泰国大事件🇹🇭
@bx6687 · 9,57559 posts生活研究认知提升002
@bx66cc · 2,29659 posts生活研究认知提升004
@bx66ee · 2,07759 posts电竞赛事分析LOL LSK KPL002
@djtd3 · 2,43859 posts电竞赛事分析LOL LSK KPL 003
@djtd86 · 2,50159 posts热播短剧精品短剧美女短剧001
@duanju8 · 2,40159 posts菲律宾大事件🇵🇭
@FLBDSJ89 · 6,80459 posts加密货币crypto资讯001
@jmhb3 · 2,18959 posts马来西亚大事件🇲🇾
@MDDSJ89 · 8,72459 posts精品短剧
@meinv94 · 21,34159 posts马来西亚大事件🇲🇾
@mlxy80 · 25,68959 posts马来西亚吉隆坡大事件002
@mlxy82 · 3,17559 posts精品短剧美女短剧热播短剧003
@mndj7 · 2,48759 postsPolymarket预测市场002
@polym2 · 2,39859 postsPolymarket预测市场005
@polym4 · 2,36159 postsPolymarket预测市场004
@polym5 · 2,50059 posts
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Handles this channel named that no longer answer
- Dead references
- 3
- handles named in this channel’s posts, vacant today
- Evidenced gone
- 1
- we ourselves saw one of these resolve, at some point
- Never seen alive
- 2
- vacant every time we have ever looked
@polym8 named 3 handles that resolve to nothing today. That is a fact about the reference, not necessarily a fact about the handle’s history — see the two groups below.
Most of these may never have existed as a live channel at all. A handle a channel names can be a typo, an aspirational name nobody registered, or a channel that was already gone before this one ever mentioned it. Unless a row below is marked evidenced, all we know is that it references a handle that is not a live channel today — not that anything “died”. How this is measured.
Evidenced gone
We ourselves saw each of these resolve to a real page at some point before it went vacant — a genuine, evidenced change, not an inference from absence.
named in 8 posts, 8 August 2026 – 4 September 2026 · confirmed gone 13 October 2026 (two independent sightings — see how we confirm a dead handle)evidenced
Never seen alive
References a handle that is not a live channel — we have no record it ever was one.
named in 8 posts, 8 August 2026 – 4 September 2026
named in 8 posts, 8 August 2026 – 4 September 2026
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 1 November 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Polymarket信息分享” (@polym8), 29,088 subscribers as measured 1 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/polym8.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.