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Telegram profile photo for Polymarket信息分享

Channel

Polymarket信息分享

@polym8

On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Cite this entry

29,088subscribers

-3,314 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001593149911
TypeChannel
Username@polym8
CreatedBetween 1 August 2021 and 28 February 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live1 November 2026
Measurements held55
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 1 November 2026
On Telegramt.me/polym8

Topic

Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 9 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 53% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.

Growth

23,89337,16530,5297 August 2026 — 32,402 subscribers7 August 2026 — 32,088 subscribers9 August 2026 — 31,499 subscribers10 August 2026 — 31,092 subscribers11 August 2026 — 30,610 subscribers12 August 2026 — 31,296 subscribers13 August 2026 — 29,638 subscribers14 August 2026 — 29,271 subscribers15 August 2026 — 28,040 subscribers17 August 2026 — 27,564 subscribers18 August 2026 — 27,383 subscribers19 August 2026 — 26,261 subscribers20 August 2026 — 26,047 subscribers21 August 2026 — 25,918 subscribers22 August 2026 — 29,550 subscribers24 August 2026 — 37,165 subscribers25 August 2026 — 36,888 subscribers26 August 2026 — 36,516 subscribers27 August 2026 — 36,335 subscribers28 August 2026 — 35,912 subscribers29 August 2026 — 35,576 subscribers30 August 2026 — 35,240 subscribers31 August 2026 — 35,112 subscribers1 September 2026 — 35,000 subscribers2 September 2026 — 34,846 subscribers3 September 2026 — 33,815 subscribers4 September 2026 — 33,511 subscribers7 September 2026 — 34,930 subscribers10 September 2026 — 34,241 subscribers12 September 2026 — 33,907 subscribers13 September 2026 — 33,512 subscribers15 September 2026 — 33,162 subscribers17 September 2026 — 33,047 subscribers28 September 2026 — 26,035 subscribers5 October 2026 — 24,134 subscribers9 October 2026 — 23,893 subscribers13 October 2026 — 30,941 subscribers14 October 2026 — 30,802 subscribers15 October 2026 — 30,697 subscribers16 October 2026 — 30,631 subscribers17 October 2026 — 30,596 subscribers18 October 2026 — 30,553 subscribers19 October 2026 — 30,505 subscribers20 October 2026 — 30,404 subscribers21 October 2026 — 30,345 subscribers22 October 2026 — 30,203 subscribers23 October 2026 — 29,747 subscribers24 October 2026 — 29,601 subscribers25 October 2026 — 29,559 subscribers26 October 2026 — 29,491 subscribers27 October 2026 — 29,445 subscribers28 October 2026 — 29,363 subscribers30 October 2026 — 29,231 subscribers31 October 2026 — 29,144 subscribers1 November 2026 — 29,088 subscribers29,0887 August 20261 November 2026
55 measurements spanning 86 days, net -3,314. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 21,902–39,156 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 55
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
1 Nov 2026, 02:3929,088-56
31 Oct 2026, 04:0129,144-87
30 Oct 2026, 02:4829,231-132
28 Oct 2026, 23:5529,363-82
27 Oct 2026, 20:5729,445-46
26 Oct 2026, 17:4929,491-68
25 Oct 2026, 19:2029,559-42
24 Oct 2026, 18:2829,601-146
23 Oct 2026, 18:4729,747-456
22 Oct 2026, 20:5730,203-142
21 Oct 2026, 18:4930,345-59
20 Oct 2026, 17:4830,404-101
19 Oct 2026, 17:0930,505-48
18 Oct 2026, 16:5630,553-43
17 Oct 2026, 18:4130,596-35
16 Oct 2026, 20:3130,631-66
15 Oct 2026, 19:5930,697-105
14 Oct 2026, 20:3030,802-139
13 Oct 2026, 10:0930,941+7,048
9 Oct 2026, 11:0123,893first reading

Engagement

2,714 posts held, back to 6 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 152 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
6.93%
avg views ÷ 29,088 subscribers
Avg views / post
2,020
1,019 posts measured
Reaction rate
—
this channel exposes no reaction counts
Posts in window
1,019
of 2,714 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 31 October 2026
Posts held2,714 (6 August 2026 – 31 October 2026)
Views total2,055,322
Reactions total—
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken31 Oct 2026, 23:55 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Video runtime
1m 15s
Average length
3s

Measured directly from 25 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.

Recent posts

31 Oct 2026, 16:35 UTC≈1,250 viewsread 31 October 2026
Photo

✨✨✨✨📣📣📣📣 13+ 官方矩阵 · 80+ 官方社群 100W+ 用户覆盖 多领域矩阵布局 · 覆盖多元流量场景 多样合作 · 灵活选择 单矩阵|多矩阵|全联盟 滚播广告|置顶广告|聚合广告 品牌宣传|项目推广|引流获客 资源合作|上压担保 商务合作:@yh184

31 Oct 2026, 15:52 UTC≈1,300 viewsread 31 October 2026

🔥热门预测|共和党佛州州长胜选概率64.5%,24小时回落3.5点 佛州州长选举市场里,共和党胜选Yes端现报64.5%,较24小时前的68.0%回落3.5个百分点。No端为35.5%,两端相差29.0个百分点。接下来观察这一多数一侧能否稳住。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 15:37 UTC≈1,320 viewsread 31 October 2026

🔥热门预测|美联储12月加息25基点概率70.5% 市场对美联储12月会议后加息25个基点的Yes端现报70.5%,No端29.5%,两端相差41个百分点。24小时内Yes端从71.5%降至70.5%,仅回落1个百分点。接下来观察的是这一多数定价能否守住70%附近。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 15:21 UTC≈1,310 viewsread 31 October 2026

🧠异动解读|西班牙火车事故后桑切斯Yes概率小幅回升 西班牙致命火车事故发生后,市场对桑切斯留任首相的定价出现微弱上调:Yes端从11.3%升至13.4%,24小时上行2.1个百分点。No端仍高达86.6%,两端相差73.2个百分点。事故改变了竞选节奏,但没有改变市场对桑切斯处于明显少数的判断。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 15:06 UTC≈1,330 viewsread 31 October 2026

🚨重大异动|Anthropic最高估值档概率24小时升13.5点 CNBC报道Anthropic正推进上市,并称其招股文件中的一个数字对投资者是积极信号。对应最高估值档位的市场同步重定价:Yes端从71.0%升至84.5%,24小时上行13.5个百分点;No端现报15.5%。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 14:50 UTC≈1,310 viewsread 31 October 2026

🔥热门预测|以太坊下探2200美元概率31.5%,24小时持平 以太坊10月26日至11月1日下探2200美元的Yes端现报31.5%,No端68.5%,市场仍把它放在少数一侧。24小时概率持平;Yes端能否脱离31.5%是接下来的观察点。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 14:35 UTC≈1,300 viewsread 31 October 2026

🔥热门预测|沈伯洋胜选概率升至32%,仍属少数 台北市长选举市场中,沈伯洋胜选Yes端从24小时前的28.4%升至32.0%,上行3.6个百分点。No端现报68.0%,两端相差36.0个百分点。价格小幅上移,但他仍落在明显少数一侧。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 14:19 UTC≈1,290 viewsread 31 October 2026

🧠异动解读|SpaceX最高IPO市值概率升至55% Anthropic上市推进、彭博称SpaceX最大收入来源为与Anthropic的有限期合同,市场对SpaceX成为2026年最高IPO市值公司的Yes端从50.5%升至55.0%,24小时上行4.5个百分点。No端现报45.0%,两端相差10.0个百分点。Yes仅领先10个百分点,但这次重定价方向向上。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 14:04 UTC≈1,280 viewsread 31 October 2026

⚡️快讯|美结束伊朗封锁概率24小时升6.5点至33.0% 针对美国是否会在2026年11月30日前宣布结束对伊朗封锁,市场Yes端现报33.0%,较24小时前的26.5%上升6.5个百分点。No端报67.0%,两端相差34.0个百分点。Yes虽仍处少数,但24小时内的定价已明显上移。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 13:49 UTC≈1,270 viewsread 31 October 2026

🔥热门预测|勒庞2027胜选定价回落至40.9% 2027年法国总统选举市场里,勒庞胜选Yes端现报40.9%,较24小时前的42.3%下滑1.4个百分点。No端报59.1%,两端相差18.2个百分点。她依然落在少数一侧。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 13:33 UTC≈1,270 viewsread 31 October 2026

🧠异动解读|联合托拉犹太教入阁概率升至33.5% 以色列大选计票近尾声,路透称内塔尼亚胡将留任看守总理,对立阵营需谈判组阁。联合托拉犹太教进入下届政府的Yes端从26.5%升至33.5%,24小时上行7.0个百分点;No端现报66.5%。Yes仍处少数,但这次重定价方向明确向上。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

31 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC≈1,270 viewsread 31 October 2026

✨✨✨✨📣📣📣📣📣📣 13+ 官方矩阵 · 80+ 官方社群 100W+ 用户覆盖 🌐 旗下核心矩阵: 1️⃣ 东南亚各国大事件矩阵 ☺️ 东南亚大事件频道 @yhxw1 ☺️各国官方社群 (共计8个社群) ☺️ 东南亚大事件 @dnydsj89 ☺️ 斯里兰卡 @TGDSJ89 ☺️ 老挝特区 @bx6685 ☺️ 柬埔寨 @jpzdsj898 ☺️ 菲律宾 @FLBDSJ89 ☺️ 泰国 @bx6687 ☺️ 缅甸 @bx6682 ☺️ 迪拜 @bx6684 2️⃣ 东南亚大事件矩阵 ☺️官方频道 @bx6680 ☺️官方社群 (共计8个社群) @bx66h @bx66j @bx66i @bx66v @bx66p @bx66g @bx66s @bx66r 3️⃣东南亚曝光吃瓜矩阵 ☺️ 官方频道 @yh105 ☺️ 官方社群 (共计7个社群) @bgcg2 @bgcg9 @bgcg7 @bg…

Showing the 12 most recent of 2,714 posts we hold for @polym8. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Mentions

Named by 10 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 1 November 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Polymarket信息分享” (@polym8), 29,088 subscribers as measured 1 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/polym8.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.