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Telegram profile photo for Polymarket信息分享

Channel

Polymarket信息分享

@polym8

On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Posts · Citations · Handles named that no longer answer · Cite this entry

33,162subscribers

+760 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 31,623–100,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1001593149911
TypeChannel
Username@polym8
CreatedBetween 1 August 2021 and 28 February 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded7 August 2026
Last confirmed live15 September 2026
Measurements held32
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 15 September 2026
On Telegramt.me/polym8

Topic

Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 9 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 53% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.

Growth

25,91837,16531,541.57 August 2026 — 32,402 subscribers7 August 2026 — 32,088 subscribers9 August 2026 — 31,499 subscribers10 August 2026 — 31,092 subscribers11 August 2026 — 30,610 subscribers12 August 2026 — 31,296 subscribers13 August 2026 — 29,638 subscribers14 August 2026 — 29,271 subscribers15 August 2026 — 28,040 subscribers17 August 2026 — 27,564 subscribers18 August 2026 — 27,383 subscribers19 August 2026 — 26,261 subscribers20 August 2026 — 26,047 subscribers21 August 2026 — 25,918 subscribers22 August 2026 — 29,550 subscribers24 August 2026 — 37,165 subscribers25 August 2026 — 36,888 subscribers26 August 2026 — 36,516 subscribers27 August 2026 — 36,335 subscribers28 August 2026 — 35,912 subscribers29 August 2026 — 35,576 subscribers30 August 2026 — 35,240 subscribers31 August 2026 — 35,112 subscribers1 September 2026 — 35,000 subscribers2 September 2026 — 34,846 subscribers3 September 2026 — 33,815 subscribers4 September 2026 — 33,511 subscribers7 September 2026 — 34,930 subscribers10 September 2026 — 34,241 subscribers12 September 2026 — 33,907 subscribers13 September 2026 — 33,512 subscribers15 September 2026 — 33,162 subscribers33,1627 August 202615 September 2026
32 measurements spanning 39 days, net +760. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 24,231–38,852 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 32
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
15 Sept 2026, 13:3833,162-350
13 Sept 2026, 23:4033,512-395
12 Sept 2026, 08:5933,907-334
10 Sept 2026, 08:4034,241-689
7 Sept 2026, 06:1834,930+1,419
4 Sept 2026, 15:1433,511-304
3 Sept 2026, 01:0633,815-1,031
2 Sept 2026, 02:1234,846-154
1 Sept 2026, 04:1935,000-112
31 Aug 2026, 03:0735,112-128
30 Aug 2026, 05:3435,240-336
29 Aug 2026, 04:3335,576-336
28 Aug 2026, 08:0435,912-423
27 Aug 2026, 05:3636,335-181
26 Aug 2026, 05:1536,516-372
25 Aug 2026, 08:1436,888-277
24 Aug 2026, 08:3637,165+7,615
22 Aug 2026, 13:0729,550+3,632
21 Aug 2026, 03:1825,918-129
20 Aug 2026, 06:3726,047first reading

Engagement

1,208 posts held, back to 6 August 2026the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 70 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
6.98%
avg views ÷ 33,162 subscribers
Avg views / post
2,320
838 posts measured
Reaction rate
this channel exposes no reaction counts
Posts in window
839
of 1,208 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 10 September 2026
Posts held1,208 (6 August 202610 September 2026)
Views total1,940,131
Reactions total
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken10 Sept 2026, 01:48 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Video runtime
4m 00s
Average length
10s

Measured directly from 23 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no mark.

Recent posts

10 Sept 2026, 01:35 UTC≈3,150 viewsread 10 September 2026

🚨重大异动:WTI九月上探100美元概率一日升12个百分点 不到一天,WTI原油九月触及100美元的定价从47.5%跳到59.5%,单日上升12.0个百分点。Yes现在为59.5%,No为40.5%。此前还不足半数的100美元关口,已变成九月原油市场更偏向上的结果。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

10 Sept 2026, 01:20 UTC≈3,150 viewsread 10 September 2026

🚨重大异动:比特币9月10日站上8万美元概率跌至6% 比特币9月10日站上8万美元的Yes概率,24小时内从24.5%降至6.0%。这跌去18.5个百分点,No一侧当前为94.0%,双方概率差88.0个百分点。按当前定价,市场几乎完全押注比特币不会在该日站上8万美元。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

10 Sept 2026, 01:04 UTC≈3,170 viewsread 10 September 2026

🚨重大异动:ETH站上2500美元概率24小时骤降28个百分点 预测市场显示,以太坊9月10日站上2500美元的Yes概率,24小时内从47.5%回落至19.5%,下降28.0个百分点。当前No一侧为80.5%,双方概率差扩大到61.0个百分点。原本接近对半的定价,已转向明显偏向下方。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 15:56 UTC≈2,940 viewsread 10 September 2026

⏰临近结算:NIP胜率回落至62.5%,对FOKUS领先缩窄 NIP对FOKUS的BO3临近结算,NIP胜率从24小时前的68.0%回落至62.5%,下跌5.5个百分点。当前FOKUS一侧为37.5%,双方差距缩至25个百分点。盘面仍未冻结,临门一脚前领先方的定价出现松动。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 15:40 UTC≈3,000 viewsread 10 September 2026

⚡️快讯:伊朗-阿曼霍尔木兹协议10月底前达成概率升至50.5% 预测市场显示,伊朗与阿曼能在10月31日前就霍尔木兹海峡管理达成协议的概率,24小时内从45.0%升至50.5%,上涨5.5个百分点,成功越过50%关口。当前No一侧概率为49.5%,Yes仅领先1个百分点,定价仍处于对半开的胶着区间。市场刚刚完成从偏否定向偏肯定的转向,但优势极薄。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 15:25 UTC≈3,020 viewsread 10 September 2026

🧠异动解读:AfD州选大胜后,Linke柏林领跑预测升破50% 外媒头条聚焦AfD在东部州选举中的强势表现,但另一个市场却在悄悄改判:Linke赢得2026年柏林州选举最多席位的概率,24小时内从48.5%升至50.5%。当前Yes一侧50.5%,No一侧49.5%,仅领先1个百分点——多空依旧胶着,重新定价幅度有限,方向已偏向仍由左翼保住首都地盘。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 15:10 UTC≈3,040 viewsread 10 September 2026

⏰临近结算:Nemesis胜率66.5%,领先EYEBALLERS达33个百分点 本场BO3临近结算,Nemesis当前胜率锁定在66.5%,EYEBALLERS为33.5%,双方相差33个百分点。该盘面在24小时内零变动,定价已完全静止。临门一脚前剩余悬念仅在EYEBALLERS一侧的33.5%能否兑现。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 15:05 UTC≈3,060 viewsread 10 September 2026
Photo

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9 Sept 2026, 14:55 UTC≈3,060 viewsread 10 September 2026

⏰临近结算:HULIGANI胜率66%,领先MOUZ达32个百分点 Dota 2 EPL Masters季后赛MOUZ对HULIGANI的BO3临近结算,当前HULIGANI胜率为66.0%,MOUZ为34.0%,领先32个百分点。该盘面在24小时内零变动,临门一脚前市场对HULIGANI保持稳定共识。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 14:40 UTC≈3,090 viewsread 10 September 2026

⏰临近结算:HOTU胜率78.5%,24小时零变动 HOTU对Nemiga的BO3临近结算,当前HOTU胜率锁定在78.5%,Nemiga为21.5%,相差57个百分点。24小时内该定价分毫未动,市场对HOTU赢下比赛保持稳定共识。临门一脚前盘面未现任何资金层面的重新定价,双方悬念有限。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 14:25 UTC≈3,110 viewsread 10 September 2026

🚨重大异动:LAPTOP FDV破$250M概率升至66.5%,24小时涨20个百分点 上线仅一天的LAPTOP,其FDV能否超过$250M?预测市场参与者正快速押注“能”。Yes一侧概率在24小时内从46.5%拉高到66.5%,上涨20.0个百分点。当前No一侧为33.5%,双方差距已拉开至33个百分点。市场定价正在从犹豫转为明确偏向。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

9 Sept 2026, 14:09 UTC≈3,150 viewsread 10 September 2026

🔥热门预测:勒庞2027胜选概率35.6%,No侧领先28.7个百分点 预测市场显示,玛丽娜·勒庞赢得2027年法国总统选举的概率24小时内从35.8%微降至35.6%。当前No一侧概率为64.3%,领先28.7个百分点,市场定价明确偏向她不会胜选。概率变化极小,后续值得观察的是能否出现打破这一僵局的催化事件。 ✅ Polymarket频道 @polym8 🌐 联盟导航 @LM667788 🐖 商务合作 @yh184

Showing the 12 most recent of 1,208 posts we hold for @polym8. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Mentions

Named by 10 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 15 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“Polymarket信息分享” (@polym8), 33,162 subscribers as measured 15 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/polym8.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.