Channel
@raydalio
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry
1,493subscribers
+13 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 1,000–3,162.
| Telegram ID | -1001178317498 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @raydalio |
| Created | Between 1 March 2018 and 31 July 2021 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 18 September 2026 |
| Measurements held | 11 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 2 times, most recently 18 September 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/raydalio |
Politics & activism — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 17 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 85% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sept 2026, 20:41 | 1,493 | +4 |
| 9 Sept 2026, 22:21 | 1,489 | +1 |
| 4 Sept 2026, 19:17 | 1,488 | -1 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 06:44 | 1,489 | +2 |
| 26 Aug 2026, 09:08 | 1,487 | -2 |
| 22 Aug 2026, 23:25 | 1,489 | +7 |
| 16 Aug 2026, 20:47 | 1,482 | -2 |
| 13 Aug 2026, 05:37 | 1,484 | +1 |
| 7 Aug 2026, 06:58 | 1,483 | +3 |
| 6 Aug 2026, 21:45 | 1,480 | no change |
| 6 Aug 2026, 21:33 | 1,480 | first reading |
20 posts held, back to 2 December 2025 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 2 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
Nothing published in the last 30 days. ERR and ER are rolling 30-day measures, so there is nothing to compute — we hold 20 posts for this entry, the most recent from 29 July 2026. An engagement rate over an empty window would be a number about nothing.
139 reactions across 20 posts, in 6 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 85.6% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 👍 | 119 | 85.6% | |
| 🔥 | 9 | 6.47% | |
| 👏 | 5 | 3.60% | |
| 👎 | 3 | 2.16% | |
| 😁 | 2 | 1.44% | |
| 🎉 | 1 | 0.719% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 20 of the 20 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 139 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 20 most recent posts we hold, published 2 December 2025 to 29 July 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Originally shared on July 4th I love everything about the 4th of July, and the 250th anniversary is especially great for me because I am joining with family and friends for a reading of the Declaration of Independence, a BBQ, and fireworks. As I reflect on what has happened over the 250 years that followed July 4th, 1776, it seems like an impossible dream come true. Think about it. Imagine that at the outset on Jul…
👍2👎1
I am worried for the United States because it is losing sight of the principles that have worked so well for most Americans and that have bound Americans together. I don't believe that it can be taken for granted that the United States won't decline the way many other great countries have declined. I believe that to succeed, Americans need to reflect deeply on what works and look at the KPIs objectively. While we ca…
👍2👏1
For these reasons, it seems to me that there is only one possible path forward that will require two important things to happen. Since the fighting between those on both sides of the political spectrum and the abandonment of their compromising and rule-following will produce much more harm than good, the United States needs a strong leader of the middle to bring people together and to make necessary, unpopular reform…
👍13👎2
The Hard-Left: It is hard to believe that having an already ineffective government run by idealistic, impractical leftists—who haven't built, run, or made anything productive (look at their track records)—will work well. The Hard-Right: It is equally hard to believe in a government run by self-interested, private-market capitalists who have shown little inclination to provide necessities to the majority so they can b…
👍8😁2🎉1🔥1
The "Secret Sauce" of US Success I wanted to expand on the thinking I expressed on July 4th when I talked about the remarkable secret sauce that produced the exceptional success that the United States has had over the last 250 years. It consisted of bringing together three unique factors: A Diverse Cultural Mix: A mixture of relatively poor, hardworking immigrant people with diverse cultures. One might have thought…
👍5👏1🔥1
My Reflections on July 4th as America Turns 250 I love everything about the 4th of July, and the 250th anniversary is especially great for me because I am joining with family and friends for a reading of the Declaration of Independence, a BBQ, and fireworks. As I reflect on what has happened over the 250 years that followed July 4th, 1776, it seems like an impossible dream come true. Think about it. Imagine that at …
👍4
Ray Dalio Warns AI, A Force “Eating Everything”, Could ‘Eat Itself’ if Profits Fail to Match Investment Surge “The technologies will go on, but the companies won’t necessarily go on,” he said, adding that it is common during periods of innovation for many firms to fail to convert excitement into sustainable earnings. His remarks arrive at a time when global technology firms are committing record sums to AI infrastr…
👍10
Sold some of the biggest tech stocks, including Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), | MSFT Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL).
👍8🔥4👏2
For me, watching what is now happening is like watching a movie that I have seen many times in history. I am a global macro investor whose approach to betting on what is going to happen is to understand the mechanics of how things work by learning the lessons of history. I find that what is now happening has happened repeatedly for the same reasons and that understanding the cause/effect relationships has helped me i…
👍10
“Because I covered that cycle comprehensively in Chapters 3 and 4, I won’t explain it here in detail. But to understand Stage 5, you need to know that it follows Stage 3, in which there is peace and prosperity and favorable debt and credit conditions, and Stage 4, in which excess and decadence begin to bring about worse conditions. This process culminates in the most difficult and painful stage—Stage 6—when the count…
👍5
When the financial problems occur, they typically first hit the private sector and then the public sector. Because governments will never let the private sector’s financial problems sink the entire system, it is the government’s financial condition that matters most. When the government runs out of buying power, there is a collapse. But on the way to a collapse there is a lot of fighting for money and political power…
👍4
“Out of disorder and discontent come leaders who have strong personalities, are anti-elitist, and claim to fight for the common man. They are called populists. Populism is a political and social phenomenon that appeals to ordinary people who feel that their concerns are not being addressed by the elites. It typically develops when there are wealth and opportunity gaps, perceived cultural threats from those with diffe…
👍3
Showing the 12 most recent of 20 posts we hold for @raydalio. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
This channel appears in 1 seed channel's Telegram-generated recommendation list in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 13 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Ray Dalio” (@raydalio), 1,493 subscribers as measured 13 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/raydalio.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.