日职联 18:00 大阪樱花 受平/半 柏太阳神 推荐:柏太阳神-0/0.5 日职联 18:00 千叶市原 受半球 冈山绿雉 推荐:冈山绿雉-0.5 日职联 18:00 町田泽维亚 半球 川崎前锋 推荐:町田泽维亚-0.5 日职联 18:00 水户蜀葵 受半球 鹿岛鹿角 推荐:鹿岛鹿角-0.5 日职联 18:00 广岛三箭 一球 名古屋鲸八 推荐:广岛三箭-1 日职联 18:00 东京绿茵 受半球 神户胜利船 推荐:神户胜利船-0.5 日职联 18:00 长崎成功丸 受平/半 大阪钢巴 推荐:大阪钢巴-0/0.5 日职联 18:00 横滨水手 平/半 京都不死鸟 推荐:横滨水手-0/0.5 日职联 18:00 清水鼓动 受半球 FC东京 推荐:FC东京-0.5 丹麦超 2:00 奥胡斯 受平/半 中日德兰 推荐:中日德兰-0/0.5 比甲 2:30 圣图尔登 受半球 圣吉罗斯 推荐:圣吉罗斯-0.5 瑞士超…
Content that also appears on other registered channels
Posts published here appear word for word on 2 other registered channels. They sit inside a group of 6 channels that share the same post bodies with each other. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.
| Posted first | Then | Overlap | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| @y3wj4/595 · this entry3 Aug 2026, 07:26 UTC | @Y30022/4253 Aug 2026, 07:26 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @Y30022/4264 Aug 2026, 12:06 UTC | @y3wj4/596 · this entry4 Aug 2026, 12:06 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @Y30022/4275 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC | @y3wj4/597 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 09:52 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @Y30022/4285 Aug 2026, 12:24 UTC | @y3wj4/598 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 12:24 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @y3wj4/598 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 12:24 UTC | @ty182_4/4595 Aug 2026, 12:24 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @ty182_4/44723 Jul 2026, 05:05 UTC | @y3wj4/587 · this entry23 Jul 2026, 05:05 UTC | 0.94 | under a minute |
| Channel | Matching posts | Text overlap | Typical gap | Published first |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @Y30022 | 8 (8/8 hand-verifiable sample passed) | 1.00 | under a minute | even |
| @ty182_4 | 6 (6/6 hand-verifiable sample passed) | 0.95 | under a minute | @ty182_4 (5–1) |
Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.
What this cannot establish
MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.
Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 3 of the 9 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.
“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 18 comparable posts for this entry, running 13 July 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.
The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.
- Verbatim republication has three causes and the text separates only two: a clone/mirror, unattributed copy-paste, or BOTH channels copying a common third source that neither attributes. The spread filter (content held by at most 8 channels) reduces the third and does not remove it.
- 'Earliest' means earliest IN THIS CORPUS. A channel ingested one page deep will look younger than a neighbour ingested in full; corpus_coverage above is there to be checked before the direction is believed.
- shared_verified_est extrapolates the sampled pass rate over the full narrow match count; sampled/passed are the numbers actually measured.
- Absence of a forward header is not proof of intent: Telegram lets a channel disable forward attribution, and a credit written in the body is not parsed as attribution here (mention_edge_either_way above is the closest available signal).
Across the whole group of 6, the earliest publisher we hold is @Y30022. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.
