۲۰ ساله که تحلیل میکنم
بخشی از تجربه و تحلیلهام رو اینجا میذارم
و اینجا جدا از کانال عمومی، کانال ویژه منه برای پیشبینی و تحلیل های خاص آینده که فقط اینجا گذاشته خواهد شد...
Created
27 January 2016 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (TGDataset)
Memes & entertainment — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 9 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 95% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
36 measurements spanning 43 days, net -3,914. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 36
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
18 Sept 2026, 01:59
34,773
-423
15 Sept 2026, 20:39
35,196
-726
14 Sept 2026, 09:22
35,922
no change
14 Sept 2026, 08:47
35,922
+35,885
13 Sept 2026, 12:20
37
-37,818
11 Sept 2026, 13:01
37,855
-16
8 Sept 2026, 17:40
37,871
-20
5 Sept 2026, 08:59
37,891
-7
3 Sept 2026, 10:43
37,898
-5
2 Sept 2026, 03:54
37,903
-71
1 Sept 2026, 00:36
37,974
-49
30 Aug 2026, 20:57
38,023
-8
29 Aug 2026, 22:07
38,031
-10
28 Aug 2026, 21:04
38,041
-7
27 Aug 2026, 22:25
38,048
-3
27 Aug 2026, 01:13
38,051
-7
25 Aug 2026, 22:23
38,058
-47
25 Aug 2026, 01:07
38,105
-21
23 Aug 2026, 12:04
38,126
-15
21 Aug 2026, 21:58
38,141
first reading
Engagement
117 posts held, back to 19 July 2026 — the reader has reached the start of this channel’s public history, so this is the full archive Telegram still exposes. Read across 78 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
14.9%
avg views ÷ 34,773 subscribers
Avg views / post
5,190
39 posts measured
Reaction rate
1.13%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
39
of 117 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 17 September 2026
Posts held
117 (19 July 2026 – 17 September 2026)
Views total
202,550
Reactions total
2,287
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
19 Sept 2026, 00:14 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Video runtime
9m 46s
Average length
19s
Measured directly from 31 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
8,103 reactions across 115 posts, in 30 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 45.6% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
❤
3,698
45.6%
🤣
1,325
16.4%
😁
821
10.1%
👍
589
7.27%
💔
587
7.24%
🤬
190
2.34%
🔥
152
1.88%
👏
118
1.46%
❤🔥
102
1.26%
👎
98
1.21%
😐
82
1.01%
😭
78
0.963%
😢
70
0.864%
🥰
57
0.703%
💯
20
0.247%
🥴
19
0.234%
😍
17
0.21%
🤔
14
0.173%
😱
13
0.16%
👌
11
0.136%
10 further kinds
42
0.518%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 117 of the 117 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 8,103 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 117 most recent posts we hold, published 19 July 2026 to 17 September 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
احتمال خیلی زیاد تا الان اصطلاح قوی سیاه رو شنیدید. اصطلاحی که از اسم یک کتاب معروف و نویسنده معروف وارد ادبیات روزمره شد که پیشنهاد میکنم حتما بخونید. اما قوی سیاه یعنی چی؟
من وقتی میگم قو، چه چیزی توی ذهن شما تصویر میشه؟ یک قوی سفید رنگ چون تا الان هرچی قو دیدید سفید بوده. حالا این کتاب اصطلاحی ایجاد کرده به اسم قوی سیاه چون هیچکس هیچ ذهنیتی از قوی سیاه نداره و تا اسم و عکسش رو نبینی نمیتونی درموردش تصویری داش…
یک نفر از ۹ اسفند در حصر خانگی بود، ۲۶ اسفند از حصر خارج شد و شرایط رو دست گرفت.
الان بعضیها درحال تلاش برای حصر مجدد این آدم هستند و این آدم درحال تلاش برای حذف دیگران.
حدس میزنید این فرد چه کسی باشه ؟
@AgaTahlilgar
این پست برام مهمه چون احساس میکنم گوش شنوایی نیست. وضعیت اصلا مطلوب نیست و انگار شما عمق فاجعه رو درک نکردید. نه تنها شما، انگار هیچکس درک نکرده. از چی حرف میزنم؟
یک سری بیسواد به شما میگن طلاهارو روی هر قیمتی میتونید بفروشید یا یکسری دیگه میگن طلا و دلار که خیلی گرون بشه دیگه نقد شونده نیست و این نشون میده چقدر از اقتصاد هیچ اطلاعاتی ندارن. اتفاقا وقتی قیمت دلار رشد کنه یعنی ریال افت کرده و اون موقع تنها چ…
من حتی به خبر جلسه این هفته ایران و کشورهای حوزه خلیج فارس نپرداختم چون معلوم بود لغو خواهد شد.
دیگه تا الان شما هم باید یادگرفته باشید کدوم خبر واقعیه کدوم نه. یاد گرفتید؟
@AgaTahlilgar
چند سالیه که با توجه به زمان و شرایط، در یک بخشی شاهد ناترازی و قطعی هستیم. یک موقع برق نیست، یک موقع گاز نیست، یک موقع بنزین نیست، یک موقع آب نیست و…
این اسمش ناترازیه و همهتون دیگه حفظ شدید شرایط رو. اما کشور داره به سمتی میره که به زودی شاهد قطعی تمامی اینها و به صورت همزمان هستیم.
یعنی زمانی که گاز نیست، برق نیست، بنزین و گازوییل نیست و حتی موتور برق هم نمیشه استفاده کرد و آب هم نیست. بنزین حتی به اندازه ما…
چطور ممکنه بانک مرکزی رسما از دلار ۲۵۰ هزار تومنی صحبت کنه؟ بیا تا بهت بگم.
اخیرا بانک مرکزی طرح عرضه گواهی سکه داشته. حالا فارغ از جزئیات طرح یک نکته مهم داخل این طرح هست. بانک مرکزی به خریدارها ضمانت داده اگه این سکهها تا ۹۰ روز آینده حداقل ۷ درصد سود نکنه، خودش این سکهها رو خریداری میکنه از شما.
پیام این چیه؟ بانک مرکزی که به عشق چشم و ابروی مردم سکه عرضه نکرده، بخاطر کسری بودجه این کار رو کرده، پس قاعدتا ۳ م…
Showing the 12 most recent of 117 posts we hold for @agatahlilgar. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@agatahlilgar edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
First edit seen
11 September 2026
Most recent edit
11 September 2026
Polls
The poll we hold for this entry, as Telegram rendered it when we read the post. A poll’s figures keep moving after that, so each one is dated.
The shares total 104%, above 100: this poll accepts more than one answer per voter. No per-option vote count is published, so the number of voters who chose each option is not derivable and is not shown.
Percentages only — there are no per-option vote counts here, because Telegram publishes none. The public post preview gives each option’s share and a single voter total, and nothing else. Multiplying one by the other would produce a per-option tally that looks measured and is not: the shares are rounded to whole numbers before we ever see them. We print what was published and leave the column that does not exist empty.
The shares need not add up to 100. Rounding alone puts many polls at 99 or 101. A poll that allows more than one answer per voter runs well past 100 by design, and several here do. The bars are drawn against a fixed 100% track at each option’s own percentage rather than normalised to the total, so a poll that exceeds it shows that it does instead of being quietly rescaled.
Read from the 117 most recent posts we hold, published 19 July 2026 to 17 September 2026. Telegram labels each poll by kind — an anonymous poll, a quiz, a closed set of final results — and that label is reproduced rather than paraphrased.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Channels Telegram recommends alongside this one
Telegram’s own answer, not this register’s. When this register asks Telegram’s API what is similar to this channel, this is the list it returns, in the exact order Telegram returns it — never re-sorted by subscribers or by anything else this register measures. The relationship, and the order, are Telegram’s; we record them and date them, and make no claim of our own about which of these channels actually resemble this one.
Read from Telegram’s recommendation API, most recently 31 August 2026. Telegram holds a list like this for a small and growing share of the register — how this is measured, and why most channel pages show nothing here.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
[TurkishMusicDl] @turkishmusicdl · 36,033 Telegram ranks this channel #15 of 67 here — alongside 66 others — read 7 September 2026
TiracturClub|تیراختور @tiracturclub · 29,603 Telegram ranks this channel #20 of 78 here — alongside 77 others — read 8 September 2026
AharNews | اهر خبر @AharNews · 25,411 Telegram ranks this channel #28 of 66 here — alongside 65 others — read 14 September 2026
شگفتیها و عجایب دنیا @ajaiebdonia · 35,853 Telegram ranks this channel #29 of 66 here — alongside 65 others — read 2 September 2026
فقط آهنگ ترکی @damlabot · 31,762 Telegram ranks this channel #30 of 59 here — alongside 58 others — read 5 September 2026
تبریز آنلاین @Tabrizonline · 100,714 Telegram ranks this channel #31 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 17 August 2026
تبريزيم نيوز | Tabrizim News @tabrizim · 64,223 Telegram ranks this channel #33 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 21 August 2026
هواداران تراکتور | تراختور @traxtor_azarbayjan · 31,995 Telegram ranks this channel #35 of 84 here — alongside 83 others — read 31 August 2026
فال روز انرژي مثبت (فقط خدا) @Faghtkhoda124 · 70,416 Telegram ranks this channel #36 of 60 here — alongside 59 others — read 28 August 2026
Tractorfc | تراکتور @tractorfc_official · 53,762 Telegram ranks this channel #41 of 83 here — alongside 82 others — read 1 September 2026
Remix Turki ریمیکس ترکی @Rimixturki · 61,579 Telegram ranks this channel #45 of 79 here — alongside 78 others — read 22 August 2026
تبریز استخدام @tbz_estekhdam · 24,629 Telegram ranks this channel #51 of 60 here — alongside 59 others — read 15 September 2026
🏡سهندیمیز @sahandimeez · 23,792 Telegram ranks this channel #53 of 75 here — alongside 74 others — read 17 September 2026
یاشاسین اورمو @yashasiinurmu · 23,130 Telegram ranks this channel #57 of 78 here — alongside 77 others — read 19 September 2026
اخبار آذربایجان شرقی @azarbaijan_Sharghi · 30,435 Telegram ranks this channel #58 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 6 September 2026
تبریز خبرلری ✔️ @Tabriz_khabarlary · 180,345 Telegram ranks this channel #59 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 13 August 2026
پایگاه خبری سراب نیوز @News_Sarab · 26,521 Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 73 here — alongside 72 others — read 12 September 2026
آژانس خبری تبریزمن @tabrizeman · 29,549 Telegram ranks this channel #65 of 85 here — alongside 84 others — read 8 September 2026
جعفر لوپز @Jafar_loopez · 46,033 Telegram ranks this channel #65 of 65 here — alongside 64 others — read 27 August 2026
️هواشناسی آذربایجان @azweather_azswfc · 53,562 Telegram ranks this channel #68 of 87 here — alongside 86 others — read 24 August 2026
کانال اردبیل موزیک @ArdabilMusic · 22,353 Telegram ranks this channel #72 of 75 here — alongside 74 others — read 21 September 2026
یاشیل وطن _ اخبار روز @yashilvatan_ir · 48,935 Telegram ranks this channel #83 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 26 August 2026
جالب @Jaleb · 235,279 Telegram ranks this channel #85 of 89 here — alongside 88 others — read 10 August 2026
This channel appears in 23 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 18 September 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“آقا تحلیلگر” (@agatahlilgar), 34,773 subscribers as measured 18 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/agatahlilgar.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.