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Channel

[하나증권 해외채권] 허성우

@deandatbond

On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Reactions · Posts · Citations · Cite this entry

6,919subscribers

+739 since we began measuring on 6 August 2026

Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 3,162–10,000.

Register entry

Telegram ID-1002084941123
TypeChannel
Username@deandatbond
Description선진국 및 신흥국 채권/경제 뉴스 소통 목적
CreatedBetween 1 November 2023 and 31 May 2024 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
First recorded6 August 2026
Last confirmed live5 November 2026
Measurements held25
Confirmed unchanged1 time, most recently 5 November 2026
On Telegramt.me/deandatbond

Topic

Other / unclassifiable — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-FP8, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 12 September 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 60% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and the other topics.

Growth

6,1806,9196,549.56 August 2026 — 6,180 subscribers6 August 2026 — 6,180 subscribers9 August 2026 — 6,192 subscribers12 August 2026 — 6,199 subscribers16 August 2026 — 6,211 subscribers19 August 2026 — 6,215 subscribers22 August 2026 — 6,289 subscribers26 August 2026 — 6,333 subscribers29 August 2026 — 6,345 subscribers1 September 2026 — 6,368 subscribers5 September 2026 — 6,385 subscribers10 September 2026 — 6,399 subscribers14 September 2026 — 6,467 subscribers18 September 2026 — 6,571 subscribers28 September 2026 — 6,655 subscribers5 October 2026 — 6,685 subscribers12 October 2026 — 6,684 subscribers15 October 2026 — 6,705 subscribers18 October 2026 — 6,717 subscribers21 October 2026 — 6,742 subscribers24 October 2026 — 6,763 subscribers27 October 2026 — 6,797 subscribers30 October 2026 — 6,811 subscribers1 November 2026 — 6,818 subscribers5 November 2026 — 6,919 subscribers6 August 20265 November 2026
25 measurements spanning 91 days, net +739. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 6,069–7,030 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded, most recent 20 of 25
Measured (UTC)SubscribersChange
5 Nov 2026, 06:506,919+101
1 Nov 2026, 23:066,818+7
30 Oct 2026, 02:206,811+14
27 Oct 2026, 05:116,797+34
24 Oct 2026, 05:306,763+21
21 Oct 2026, 14:096,742+25
18 Oct 2026, 02:166,717+12
15 Oct 2026, 00:156,705+21
12 Oct 2026, 01:576,684-1
5 Oct 2026, 14:406,685+30
28 Sept 2026, 01:376,655+84
18 Sept 2026, 18:596,571+104
14 Sept 2026, 09:556,467+68
10 Sept 2026, 11:386,399+14
5 Sept 2026, 07:196,385+17
1 Sept 2026, 09:056,368+23
29 Aug 2026, 07:366,345+12
26 Aug 2026, 06:166,333+44
22 Aug 2026, 23:476,289+74
19 Aug 2026, 08:036,215first reading

Engagement

61 posts held, back to 2 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 16 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.

ERR · 30 days
22.9%
avg views ÷ 6,919 subscribers
Avg views / post
1,590
31 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.478%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
31
of 61 held

ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.

ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.

What these figures were computed from
WindowRolling 30 days · latest post in window 6 November 2026
Posts held61 (2 August 2026 – 6 November 2026)
Views total49,214
Reactions total235
Forwards / commentsnot exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken7 Nov 2026, 01:09 UTC

Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.

Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.

Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.

What this channel posts

Photos
≈1,400
Links
≈219

Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 7 November 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.

Reaction mix

377 reactions across 54 posts, in 4 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 57.0% of them.

Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
ReactionCountShareShare, drawn
❤21557.0%
👍15541.1%
👏61.59%
🔥10.265%

No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.

Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.

Coverage. Reactions were read on 60 of the 61 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 416 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.

Measured over the 61 most recent posts we hold, published 2 August 2026 to 6 November 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.

Recent posts

Telegram’s own ‘edited’ marker: 4 of 31 posts held from the last 30 days (12.9%) carried it when this register last read them. The marker says a post was changed after publishing, not what it said before — this register holds the earlier wording only where an edit fell between two of its own reads (see the edit ledger and how it is measured).

6 Nov 2026, 13:44 UTC479 views4 reactionsread 7 November 2026
Photo

주식 소폭 반등과 함께 금리도 재차 반등. 9월 고용 부진 우려와 달리 10월 재차 강한 고용 확인

❤3👍1

6 Nov 2026, 13:41 UTC515 views2 reactionsread 7 November 2026

<🇺🇸 10월 고용보고서 컨센 상회 > 1️⃣ 비농업 고용 실제 165k / 컨센 65k / 이전 60k(상향조정) *민간: 실제 159k / 컨센 64k / 이전 78k(상향조정) 2️⃣ 실업률 실제 4.1% / 컨센 4.2% / 이전 4.2% 3️⃣ 시간당 임금 전년비 실제 3.1% / 컨센 2.9% / 이전 3.2%(상향조정) 4️⃣ 시간당 임금 전월비 실제 0.4% / 컨센 0.3% / 이전 0.3%(상향조정) 5️⃣ 경제활동참가율 실제 61.9% / 이전 61.8%

👍2

4 Nov 2026, 23:56 UTC≈2,890 views4 reactionsread 7 November 2026

중간선거와 QRA: 분점정부와 증액 예고 (T.3771-8037) ▶ 4분기 QRA, 숫자로는 현상 유지였지만 문구와 TBAC 권고로는 증액 예고에 가까웠음. 증액은 늦어도 27년 8월, 중단기물 중심으로 이뤄질 전망 ▶ 중간선거는 민주당의 압승. 과거 ‘통합→분점’ 사례에서 장기금리 추세 하락은 선거 후 3~4개월 뒤. 예산 협상, 재정 경로, 연준 사이클 전환이 확인되는 27년 1분기와 맞물림 ▶ 장기 구간은 분점정부에 따른 재정 확대 제약과 장기물 증액 속도 조절을 반영해 상대적으로 우호적인 흐름을 이어갈 것으로 예상 [하나증권 해외채권 허성우] *텔레그램: https://t.me/deandatbond *자료: https://bitly.cx/uRp7x (컴플라이언스 승인을 득함)

❤3👍1

4 Nov 2026, 22:25 UTC≈1,100 views7 reactionsread 7 November 2026

일론 머스크는 이번 중간선거에서 5억 달러 가까이 썼음. 2026년 최대 기부자이자, 미국 선거 역사상 후보, 정당 외부 기부자로는 가장 많은 돈을 쓴 인물 머스크의 기부는 공화당 지원에 집중됐지만, 민주당은 상/하원을 모두 되찾았음. 자금의 대부분을 쏟은 가장 주목받는 상원 경합 7곳 중 6곳에서도 민주당이 이겼음 공화당 승리를 돕는 데는 실패했지만 머스크의 순자산은 1조 달러 가까이로 증가. 앞으로도 정치에 거액을 쓸 수 있고 다음 선거에는 더 많이 쓸 가능성 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-11-04/after-2026-midterm-losses-elon-musk-s-era-of-politics-is-just-beginning

❤4👍3

4 Nov 2026, 22:22 UTC≈1,210 views6 reactionsread 7 November 2026
Photo

** 밴스 부통령은 이란 전쟁과 미국, 이스라엘 관계에 대한 유권자들의 불만 때문에 공화당이 중간선거에서 패배했다고 언급. 트럼프와 일정 부분 거리를 두려하는 모습

❤4👍2

4 Nov 2026, 13:57 UTC≈1,080 views7 reactionsread 7 November 2026

** TBAC(재무부 자문 위원회) 권고 사항 - AI 회사채 발행의 국채 수요 구축 효과는 없음. 입찰 결과상 증거가 없으며, 금리 상승은 공급 충격이 아니라 성장과 정책 기대, 에너지 가격을 반영한 것. 다만 조달 사이클이 초기 단계여서 지속적인 모니터링을 권고 - 파생상품은 국채 수요를 늘리는 역할. 국채를 직접 사지 않고 선물이나 스왑으로 금리에 투자하는 기관이 늘었는데, TBAC은 이것도 결국 국채 수요를 늘린다고 봄. 은행이 국채를 더 쉽게 보유하고 거래할 수 있도록 관련 규제를 풀어야 한다고 제안 - 바이백은 유동성 공급용. 바이백이 시장 거래를 원활하게 하는 데는 효과가 있다고 봄. 다만 장기물 발행 부담을 줄이고 싶다면 바이백보다는 처음부터 장기물 입찰 규모를 줄이는 게 맞다는 입장 - 빌 의존의 한계. 현재 입찰 규모…

❤5👍2

4 Nov 2026, 13:45 UTC≈1,550 views6 reactionsread 7 November 2026
Photo

🇺🇸 4분기 QRA 만기별 발행 규모 발표 - 올해 4분기 차입규모 수정치는 6,180억 달러(티빌 3,320억 달러 + 이표채 3,610억 달러 − 바이백 750억 달러). 8월 최초 추정치와 비교하면 이표채는 그대로이고, 바이백이 250억 달러 늘어난 만큼 티빌 발행이 150억 달러 늘어남 - 내년 1분기 최초 차입규모는 8,000억 달러(티빌 5,320억 달러 + 이표채 3,480억 달러 − 바이백 800억 달러). 1분기 차입의 약 2/3를 티빌로 조달하는 구조. 이르면 2월 중순 부채한도에 도달하면 순발행이 제약되므로 실제 빌 공급 경로는 한도 협상에 달려 있음 - 시장이 가장 주목했던 이표채 가이던스는 유지됐지만 표현이 바뀜. 재무부는 다음 몇 분기 동안(for the next several quarters) 이표채와 FRN …

❤5👍1

4 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC≈1,140 views7 reactionsread 7 November 2026

(아직 개표가 끝나진 않았지만) 이번 중간선거에서 민주당이 상원과 하원을 모두 가져감. 공화당 통합정부가 ‘상/하원 모두 야당’인 분점정부로 바뀌는 셈. 1946년 이후 20번의 중간선거 중 통합정부가 분점정부로 바뀐 사례는 7번이고, 이 가운데 상/하원을 모두 야당에 내준 경우는 4번. 올해 선거 전 금리 경로도 전형적인 통합→분점 사례와 닮았음. 1994년, 2018년, 2022년처럼 금리와 물가 상승이 여당 심판으로 이어진 흐름 주식시장은 과거 사례로 보면 정부 형태와 관계없이 선거 후 상승. 상/하원을 모두 야당에 내준 4번의 사례에서 S&P 500은 선거 후 12개월 동안 평균 약 18% 상승했고, 통합정부가 유지된 경우(약 15%)보다 오히려 상승폭이 컸음. 의회 교착으로 정책 불확실성이 줄어드는 점이 증시에는 오히려 우호적으로 …

❤6👍1

4 Nov 2026, 03:10 UTC≈1,340 views14 reactionsread 7 November 2026
Photo

상하원 모두 민주당 우세

❤8👏4👍1🔥1

3 Nov 2026, 23:47 UTC≈1,440 views5 reactionsread 7 November 2026

중간선거 개표 실시간 링크 https://apnews.com/projects/elections-2026/ https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2026-us-election-results/?leadSource=uverify%20wall

❤3👍2

3 Nov 2026, 22:19 UTC≈1,340 views5 reactionsread 7 November 2026

트럼프 대통령의 국정 수행에 대한 여론의 반감이 11월 3일 의회 선거에서 공화당 단일 정부 체제를 끝낼 위기를 만들고 있음 그렇게 되면 트럼프 행정부는 더 강한 의회 감시를 받고, 타협을 받아들일 수밖에 없게 될 수 있음. 민주당에 유리한 ’블루웨이브‘가 일어난다는 것은 민주당이 하원이나 상원, 또는 양원 모두에서 의석을 크게 늘린다는 뜻 이 경우 민주당은 자신들이 반대하는 법안을 트럼프가 통과시키지 못하도록 막을 수 있음. 다만 민주당이 한 곳 또는 양원을 모두 장악하더라도, 트럼프는 여전히 행정 조치를 통해 의회 없이 중대한 정책 변화를 추진할 수 있음. 의회가 통과시킨 어떤 법안에도 거부권을 행사할 수 있으며, 민주당은 2/3 이상의 압도적 다수 표결로 거부권을 무력화하려 시도할 수 있음 https://www.bloomberg.c…

❤4👍1

3 Nov 2026, 00:24 UTC≈1,230 views8 reactionsread 7 November 2026
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** 안전자산 수요 지속. 美 10년물, 연고점 대비 약 40bp 하락 채권시장의 안전자산 수요가 여전히 강함. 미 10년물 금리는 올해 고점보다 약 40bp 낮은 수준에서 거래되고 있음. 이번 주에는 PMI와 ISM 지표, 고용지표, 재무부 분기 발행계획 발표가 예정되어있음. 위험회피 흐름은 당분간 조금 더 이어질 가능성이 높아 보임 다만 이런 변동성의 이면에는 둔화되고는 있지만 여전히 견조한 성장 여건이 버티고 있음. 성장 둔화 우려가 금리를 끌어내리고 있지만, 경기 자체가 무너지지 않은 만큼 4.8%를 뚫고 내려가려면 이번 주 고용과 ISM에서 뚜렷한 약세가 확인돼야 함. 반대로 재무부가 장기채 발행을 줄이면 장기물 수급 부담이 덜어져 하단 테스트를 도울 수 있음

❤8

Showing the 12 most recent of 61 posts we hold for @deandatbond. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.

Forward network

Republishes

Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.

Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.

Mentions

Named by 4 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.

A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.

Cite this entry

A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 5 November 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.

“[하나증권 해외채권] 허성우” (@deandatbond), 6,919 subscribers as measured 5 November 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/deandatbond.

Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.