Тут нужно понимать, что Россия помолодеет не потому что станет больше детей и демография попрет. Правильней будет сказать, что пик доминации пожилых когорт закончится и начнут постепенно уходить многочисленные поколения второй половины XX века. Следующие поколения меньше и как следствие доля пожилых в общей структуре населения может начать снижаться. Т.е. парадокс. Россия будет одновременно молодеть и сокращаться. …

Channel
Подгорнов.Экспертиза
@npodgornov
On this record: Topic · Growth · Engagement · What this channel posts · Stars · Posts · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry
13,311subscribers
+78 since we began measuring on 5 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.
Register entry
| Telegram ID | -1001475655732 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @npodgornov |
| Created | 13 August 2019 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel) |
| First recorded | 6 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 25 September 2026 |
| Measurements held | 34 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 25 September 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/npodgornov |
Topic
National news — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 19 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 68% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
Growth
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Sept 2026, 15:20 | 13,311 | -15 |
| 19 Sept 2026, 03:57 | 13,326 | +2 |
| 16 Sept 2026, 18:16 | 13,324 | -2 |
| 13 Sept 2026, 03:00 | 13,326 | -2 |
| 11 Sept 2026, 03:59 | 13,328 | -4 |
| 8 Sept 2026, 08:36 | 13,332 | +2 |
| 5 Sept 2026, 05:59 | 13,330 | +2 |
| 3 Sept 2026, 11:36 | 13,328 | -1 |
| 2 Sept 2026, 06:42 | 13,329 | +1 |
| 1 Sept 2026, 03:14 | 13,328 | +4 |
| 31 Aug 2026, 00:54 | 13,324 | +6 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 03:25 | 13,318 | +30 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 04:57 | 13,288 | -1 |
| 28 Aug 2026, 02:07 | 13,289 | -4 |
| 27 Aug 2026, 03:28 | 13,293 | +13 |
| 26 Aug 2026, 01:22 | 13,280 | +37 |
| 25 Aug 2026, 04:02 | 13,243 | -1 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 01:35 | 13,244 | -1 |
| 22 Aug 2026, 09:35 | 13,245 | -1 |
| 21 Aug 2026, 01:08 | 13,246 | first reading |
Engagement
102 posts held, back to 29 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 49 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
- ERR · 30 days
- 2.01%
- avg views ÷ 13,311 subscribers
- Avg views / post
- 268
- 23 posts measured
- Reaction rate
- 0%
- reactions ÷ views · ER floor
- Posts in window
- 23
- of 102 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 1 of 23 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 2 September 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 102 (29 July 2026 – 2 September 2026) |
| Views total | 6,159 |
| Reactions total | 0 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 2 Sept 2026, 20:15 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
- Video runtime
- 2m 40s
- Average length
- 2m 40s
Measured directly from 1 video with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Telegram Stars
- Stars received
- 2
- across the posts below
- Posts paid on
- 1
- of 100 we hold a reading for · 1%
- Most on one post
- 2
- single highest reading
A paid reaction is a reader spending Telegram Stars — bought with money — on a post by @npodgornov. Telegram publishes the count on the public post preview alongside ordinary reactions, and this register reads it there. It is the only figure on this site that measures money moving rather than attention.
Stars are not reactions, and the two are never added. They are rendered in the same strip on Telegram and counted in the same shape, but one is a tap and the other is a purchase. The reaction totals and the engagement rate elsewhere on this page exclude every figure in this section, and no rate here is computed against a reaction count.
This is not revenue, and we publish no currency figure. What a Star costs a reader and what it pays a channel are different numbers, Telegram takes a share we cannot observe, and the terms have changed. Converting a Star count into money would be an estimate dressed as a measurement, so the count is where we stop.
Counted over the 102 most recent posts we hold for this entry, published 29 July 2026 to 2 September 2026. Star counts above 1,000 reach us in Telegram’s short form and carry the same three-significant-figure rounding as everything else on this page.
Recent posts
Россия стареет не только через рост количества пенсионеров. Она еще стареет через отсутствие молодых работников Смотрим свежее исследование ЦМИ Сбербанка: резерв рабочей силы в России сократился с 7,1 млн до 4,4 млн человек, средний возраст занятого вырос до 43 лет. Работников 20-29 лет стало меньше на 4,3 млн, а старше 60 - больше на 2,7 млн. Безработица при этом держится около исторического минимума - 2,2%. Мне к…
Я уже проговаривал этот сценарий, что эскалация со стороны Германия - финансовая. Повод возобновить давление на Бельгию, чтобы изъять замороженные активы. Пустое по конечному результату, но Мерцу и "коалиции" очень нужно какое-то движение хоть в какую-то сторону. Внутренние рейтинги летят вниз и очень-очень хочется поотвлекать свое население (и элиты) через очередную "угрозу России". Я бы не пускался дальше заявле…
Ага, сразу пошли вопросы: А сколько конкретно снижение? Уже понятные цифры такие. Сегодня в первый класс идут около 1,5 млн детей, а уже к 2030 году их может быть примерно 1,27 млн. То есть уже по факту на 230 тыс. меньше, или на 15%. Это еще раз не особый прогноз, а скорее голая статистика: дети, которые сядут за парты в 2030-м, уже родились в 2022–2023 годах. С 2035 годом неопределённости больше, потому что реч…
Про первосентябрьскую демографию Сегодня в России впервые садятся за парты более 1,5 млн первоклассников. Всего в стране работают около 38 тыс. школ. Сами по себе цифры нормальные для 1 сентября. Но важно видеть в них не только школьную статистику, но и демографический индикатор с задержкой. Сначала у нас рождается ребенок, далее он появляется в школьной системе. На это "расходуется" определенное количество школ и …
ТОП – 100 лучших российских Telegram каналов в августе 2026 года на платформе Павла Дурова. Подготовлен главным каналом-агрегатором «ПУЛ Telegram» (@TGRussia) и площадкой «The World Inform». Миллионы людей узнавали о событиях в России и мире, в этих каналах. Лучшие и влиятельные авторы, чьё авторитетное мнение внимательно мониторят в разных кабинетах власти и бизнеса. Посты анализируются экспертами и касаются каждо…
Итоги лета 2026. Политика. Напряжение, напряжение, напряжение. (2) Общий политический итог лета 2026 - напряжение стало стабильным. Нельзя сказать, что российское общество и политическая система находится в спокойном состоянии. Нет. Беспокойство и напряжение на высоких уровнях. Но никакого массового протеста, никакой утраты доверия не фиксируется. Политическая система работает стабильно. Можно говорить о том, что об…
Итоги лета 2026. Политика. Напряжение, напряжение, напряжение. (1) Если нужно выразить итог этого лета в одной фразе, то она была бы: ушло ощущение временности. Т.е. после февраля 2022 года очень многое можно было воспринимать как чрезвычайные меры: СВО - мобилизация - ограничения - новые законы - военные расходы - перестройка внешней политики. Всё это можно было списывать на "особый период", который рано или поздно…
Итоги лета 2026. Экономика. Конец перегрева (2) При этом население пока остаётся главным стабилизатором всей конструкции. Безработица около исторического минимума, накопленный рост зарплат поддерживает потребление, во II квартале розница выросла на 7,2%, общепит - на 6,2%. Получается ещё один парадокс: производственная экономика почти стоит, а потребительская пока продолжает довольно хорошо себя чувствовать. Но и зд…
Итоги лета 2026. Экономика. Конец перегрева (1) Мне кажется, главный экономический итог этого в том, что российская экономика не вошла в кризис, а период быстрого роста 2023-2024 годов окончательно закончился. В I квартале ВВП снизился на 0,2% год к году, во II вырос на 1,3%, за первое полугодие получается примерно +0,6%. Формально никакой рецессии нет. Но июльская промышленность чувствует себя не очень: +0,4% год к…
Сергей Некрасов Колечко-колечко, выйди на крылечко *из серии Россия не двадцать первого века
Просили вернуть линк на поддержку канала. Хорошо, давайте по выходным буду постить линк. Спасибо!
Showing the 12 most recent of 102 posts we hold for @npodgornov. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
@bloodysx · 1,178,5215 postsРаньше всех. Ну почти.
@bbbreaking · 1,974,4024 postsРБК. Новости. Главное
@rbc_news · 905,5283 postsПУЛ Telegram
@tgrussia · 52,3703 postsМалек Дудаков
@malekdudakov · 82,8332 postsОсторожно, новости
@ostorozhno_novosti · 1,622,6302 postsProeconomics
@proeconomics · 68,3782 postsСоцио
@socio_news · 23,7362 postsТолкователь
@tolk_tolk · 125,9942 postsРоссия в глобальной политике
@ru_global · 54,4891 postНОВОСТИ 📰
@russica2 · 745,2751 post
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 16 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
@docpro · 139,65014 postsЕЖ
@ejdailyru · 671,0425 postsКак жить после 40?
@after40yo · 13,8212 postsПАНКИН
@Pankin_Ivan · 23,5642 postsНОВОСТИ 📰
@russica2 · 745,2752 postsНеудаща
@dirtytatarstan · 40,2611 postКараульный Z
@karaulny · 120,2441 postМейстер
@maester · 301,6611 postДело случая
@matter_of_chance · 7,3571 postМедиастанция
@mediastanciacom · 116,2871 postМосковская прачечная
@moscow_laundry · 686,5501 postСамойлов
@oversized_shirts · 11,1971 postАмазонки в климаксе
@periwoman · 7061 postРИА КАТЮША
@riakatysha · 76,3631 postЦенности.РФ
@tsennostirf · 8,1791 postЖИВОВЪ | НОВОСТИ И МНЕНИЯ
@zhivoff22 · 16,1641 post
Names
Channels on the register whose handles appear in this channel's posts.
@madam_secretar · 36,0033 postsАбзац
@absatzmedia · 132,1412 postsАргументы и Факты — АиФ.ru
@aifonline · 88,0132 postsКартавых Александр
@AlexCarrier · 147,7632 postsКЛИШАС
@andreyklishas · 17,9232 postsЮрий Баранчик
@barantchik · 90,1902 postsБЧН [Больше чем новости]
@batyachitaet · 31,8842 postsЦИК России
@cikrossii · 29,7362 postsЕкатерина Мизулина
@ekaterina_mizulina · 935,4012 postsЕлена Панина
@EvPanina · 136,1312 postsПравительство России
@government_rus · 167,9522 postsMaisto
@igormaisto · 103,5382 postsШАХНАЗАРОВ
@iikhu · 155,0632 postsИрина Волк
@IrinaVolk_MVD · 52,0342 postsКарманов Медиа ПФКИ
@karmanov_media · 16,4022 postsКристина Потупчик
@krispotupchik · 151,5142 postsЯна Лантратова
@lantratovaDOBRO · 224,9072 postsЛобушкин
@lobushkin · 100,2232 postsLomovka
@lomovkaa · 333,3092 postsОлеся Лосева
@Losevatalks · 38,7882 postsМария Захарова
@mariavladimirovnazakharova · 462,0302 postsДмитрий Медведев
@medvedev_telegram · 1,700,8692 postsМинпросвещения России
@minprosrf · 73,5522 postsНаталья Касперская
@natalya_kasperskaya_channel · 55,1042 posts
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
@emphasises · 26,114
Telegram ranks this channel #17 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 13 September 2026
@Arhipovadarya · 25,030
Telegram ranks this channel #36 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 15 September 2026
@showbiz_live24 · 65,873
Telegram ranks this channel #40 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 20 August 2026
@stranavvvv · 57,322
Telegram ranks this channel #53 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 23 August 2026
@FBR_channel · 148,051
Telegram ranks this channel #55 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 12 August 2026
@banksecret · 58,568
Telegram ranks this channel #56 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 22 August 2026
@goodphrase · 36,891
Telegram ranks this channel #57 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 1 September 2026
@aurora_media · 41,328
Telegram ranks this channel #58 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 27 August 2026
@merussiatg · 50,184
Telegram ranks this channel #58 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 25 August 2026
@thegraschenkov · 163,136
Telegram ranks this channel #59 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 12 August 2026
@koshelevvladimir · 34,639
Telegram ranks this channel #61 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 3 September 2026
@cyberfreek · 82,277
Telegram ranks this channel #63 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 18 August 2026
@moscowlenta · 70,349
Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 20 August 2026
@votBusiness · 120,146
Telegram ranks this channel #64 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 14 August 2026
@BankingTruth · 32,250
Telegram ranks this channel #65 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 5 September 2026
@VoprosFin · 99,388
Telegram ranks this channel #65 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 15 August 2026
@boulevard_ring · 71,827
Telegram ranks this channel #66 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 20 August 2026
@letmotiva · 29,846
Telegram ranks this channel #68 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 7 September 2026
@analyst_on_the_couch · 62,488
Telegram ranks this channel #68 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 21 August 2026
@mediastanciacom · 116,287
Telegram ranks this channel #68 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 14 August 2026
@NewNovorossia · 54,108
Telegram ranks this channel #69 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 24 August 2026
@DeloPlus · 131,990
Telegram ranks this channel #69 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 13 August 2026
@prodano5 · 73,120
Telegram ranks this channel #72 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 19 August 2026
@FingersON · 104,058
Telegram ranks this channel #72 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 15 August 2026
This channel appears in 56 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total, of which the 24 where it ranks highest are shown above. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 25 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Подгорнов.Экспертиза” (@npodgornov), 13,311 subscribers as measured 25 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/npodgornov.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.