🔴🟠🟡
کانال تحلیلی بــازار پـــایه
www.onlyotc.ir
www.nerkhdeh.ir
مطالب نوشته شده صرفا تحلیل های شخصی هستند و مسئولیت خرید و فروش هر شخص به عهده خودش است.
کانال اختصاصی طلا و نقره:
https://t.me/+h10VlVgxaD04YWI0
صفحه توییتر:
https://x.com/mobin_nzm?t
Created
Between 1 March 2018 and 31 August 2021— estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated.
19 measurements spanning 20 days, net +375. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 12,155–12,642 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
27 Aug 2026, 10:33
12,586
+7
26 Aug 2026, 08:14
12,579
+32
25 Aug 2026, 05:04
12,547
+59
24 Aug 2026, 04:15
12,488
+45
22 Aug 2026, 10:08
12,443
+27
20 Aug 2026, 23:56
12,416
+19
19 Aug 2026, 20:55
12,397
+13
18 Aug 2026, 17:52
12,384
+14
17 Aug 2026, 21:05
12,370
+8
16 Aug 2026, 21:18
12,362
+70
15 Aug 2026, 12:39
12,292
+13
14 Aug 2026, 00:08
12,279
-5
12 Aug 2026, 14:54
12,284
+2
11 Aug 2026, 18:18
12,282
+58
10 Aug 2026, 16:55
12,224
-2
9 Aug 2026, 17:22
12,226
-2
8 Aug 2026, 15:01
12,228
+17
7 Aug 2026, 17:46
12,211
no change
7 Aug 2026, 17:37
12,211
first reading
Engagement
123 posts held, back to 2 August 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 39 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
21.9%
avg views ÷ 12,586 subscribers
Avg views / post
2,760
123 posts measured
Reaction rate
0.911%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
123
of 123 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 115 of 123 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 26 August 2026
Posts held
123 (2 August 2026 – 26 August 2026)
Views total
339,568
Reactions total
2,908
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
27 Aug 2026, 18:59 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈3,910
Videos
≈151
Links
≈3,490
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 27 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Video runtime
3m 25s
Average length
51s
Measured directly from 4 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
2,908 reactions across 115 posts, in 2 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 67.0% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
👍
1,949
67.0%
👎
959
33.0%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 115 of the 123 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 2,908reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 123 most recent posts we hold, published 2 August 2026 to 26 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
🎓 دوره حرفهای بازار طلا و نقره
«تمرکز بر صندوقهای طلا و نقره بورسی و بازار فیزیکی طلا و نقره»
👨🏫 مدرسین: مبین ناظمی | ارسلان کلانتر
⏰ پنجشنبه و جمعه یکم و دوم مهر ماه
🔗 ثبت نام از طریق : https://evand.com/events/goladandsilver
📄کد تخفیف ثبت نام : nerkhdeh
سرفصلهای دوره
🟢 ۱. چرا طلا و نقره و چرا الان؟
نقش طلا در تورم و ریسکهای اقتصادی
جایگاه طلا و نقره در سبد سرمایهگذاری ایرانی
🟢 ۲. ساختار بازار طلا …
مهم فوری
نخستوزیر و وزیر امور خارجه قطر قصد دارند فردا، در چارچوب تلاشها برای کاهش تنشها و تقویت امنیت و ثبات منطقهای و همچنین گفتگو در مورد روابط دوجانبه با ایران، به تهران سفر کنند.
@only_otc
✅سیاست جدید بانک مرکزی برای فروشارز سهمیه ای
📌بانک مرکزی در ادامه سیاستهای جدید ارزی و با هدف تقویت عرضه ارز، پاسخگویی به نیازهای ارزی فعالان اقتصادی و تعمیق معاملات رسمی اسکناس، تمهیدات جدیدی را برای توسعه دسترسی متقاضیان به اسکناس ارز در شبکه رسمی بانکی به اجرا میگذارد.
🔹بر اساس این تصمیم، با توجه به تقویت ذخایر ارزی بانک مرکزی متعاقب اجرای سیاستهای جدید ارزی از اواخر سال گذشته و حسب ارزیابیهای بهعملآمده …
#اقتصادی
بررسی سناریو های متحمل نرخ ارز بر اساس متغیر های سیاسی و اقتصادی تا مردا سال ۱۴۰۶
#بخش_صد_بیست_پنج
در این فایل ۶ ستاریو محتمل بررسی شده:
🟢خوشبینانه اول (توافق کامل هستهای + بازگشایی هرمز)
🟢خوشبینانه دوم (تفاهم اولیه + کاهش تنش)
🟡پایه (ادامه وضعیت فعلی، مذاکرات بلاتکلیف)
🟠بدبینانه اول (شکست مذاکرات + تحریم سخت)
🔴بدبینانه دوم (حمله نظامی + بستهشدن هرمز)
🔴بدبینانه سوم (شوک ارزی و از دست رفتن کنترل بازار)…
#اقتصادي
تحریم ثانویه؛ وقتی آمریکا شرکای ایران را هم هدف میگیرد
#بخش_صد_بيست_ششم
تحریم ثانویه؛ آمریکا چگونه میخواهد اقتصاد ایران را محاصره مالی کند؟
آمریکا در دور جدید فشارهای اقتصادی، فقط ایران را هدف نگرفته است؛ کشورها و شرکتهایی که با ایران همکاری اقتصادی داشته باشند نیز در معرض تحریم قرار میگیرند. اسکات بسنت، وزیر خزانهداری آمریکا، این سیاست را بخشی از یک کارزار گسترده برای قطع «راههای درآمدی» ایران معرف…
به اون ٩٩ تا تحريم اين اضافه شد؛
وزیر خزانهداری آمریکا:
هر کشوری به ایران کمک کنه، آمریکا دسترسیش به دلار رو قطع میکنه
پ.ن: شفاف توضيح ميدم پيامد هاي اين تحريم و تهديد چيه!
@only_otc
ساعت ٢١:٣٠ به وقت ايران قراره تحريم هاي آمريكا عليه ايران اعلام بشه ، هرچند همه اقسام ٩٩ تا از ١٠٠ تحريم رو داريم اما سعي ميكنيم فردا در قالب يك فايل #اقتصادي تحريم هاي قبلي ، فعلي و آتي رو بررسي كنيم و در كانال قرار بديم.
@only_otc
#اقتصادی
بررسی سناریو های متحمل نرخ ارز بر اساس متغیر های سیاسی و اقتصادی تا مردا سال ۱۴۰۶
#بخش_صد_بیست_پنج
در این فایل ۶ ستاریو محتمل بررسی شده:
🟢خوشبینانه اول (توافق کامل هستهای + بازگشایی هرمز)
🟢خوشبینانه دوم (تفاهم اولیه + کاهش تنش)
🟡پایه (ادامه وضعیت فعلی، مذاکرات بلاتکلیف)
🟠بدبینانه اول (شکست مذاکرات + تحریم سخت)
🔴بدبینانه دوم (حمله نظامی + بستهشدن هرمز)
🔴بدبینانه سوم (شوک ارزی و از دست رفتن کنترل بازار)…
👍18
Showing the 12 most recent of 123 posts we hold for @only_otc. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 440,950 of 1,621,120entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republishes
Channels on the register whose posts this channel has forwarded.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 2 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
پیام الیاس کردی | Payam Elyaskordi @PayamElyaskordi · 104,522 Telegram ranks this channel #9 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 16 August 2026
مرجع صندوقهای سرمایهگذاری @Fundbase_ir · 74,188 Telegram ranks this channel #21 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 19 August 2026
آوای آگاه @AgahMoshaver · 46,478 Telegram ranks this channel #22 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 27 August 2026
گنگ خواب دیده @mortezaebad · 50,557 Telegram ranks this channel #27 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 25 August 2026
توییتر_بورس @twitter_bourse · 68,758 Telegram ranks this channel #28 of 95 here — alongside 94 others — read 20 August 2026
پارسیس تحلیل @parsistahlil · 49,843 Telegram ranks this channel #32 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 25 August 2026
Behnam Samadi | بهنام صمدی @BehnamSamadi_ir · 58,922 Telegram ranks this channel #36 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 22 August 2026
تحلیل کاربردی " هلالات " @validhelalat · 67,006 Telegram ranks this channel #41 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 21 August 2026
بتا سهم @betasahm1 · 123,936 Telegram ranks this channel #42 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 13 August 2026
اخبار بورس | Tse Press @tsepress · 64,492 Telegram ranks this channel #45 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 21 August 2026
بولتن اقتصادی @boltann · 117,915 Telegram ranks this channel #47 of 93 here — alongside 92 others — read 14 August 2026
نابازار @nabazaar · 52,095 Telegram ranks this channel #57 of 88 here — alongside 87 others — read 24 August 2026
پیکنیک تحلیل @PiknikAnalyst · 112,571 Telegram ranks this channel #61 of 94 here — alongside 93 others — read 14 August 2026
روزنامه دنیای اقتصاد @den_ir · 74,297 Telegram ranks this channel #62 of 98 here — alongside 97 others — read 19 August 2026
بورس۲۴ | Bourse24 @bourse24ir · 76,210 Telegram ranks this channel #89 of 96 here — alongside 95 others — read 19 August 2026
This channel appears in 15 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 27 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“بازار پایه | نگاه تحلیلی به اقتصاد و بازارهای مالی |” (@only_otc), 12,586 subscribers as measured 27 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/only_otc.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.