本周五非农数据将成关键变量。 杰克逊霍尔会议后,沃什偏鹰表态已将9月加息概率推升至近70%, 叠加下周一美国劳工节休市,美股连续三天停盘,波动将集中在非农公布时段集中释放。 BTC当前处于高位回落后的修复阶段,本身存在回调压力。 非农虽为催化剂,但难以单方面改变结构。 中线策略围绕80,000-82,000美元附近分批高空、73,000-75,000美元附近分批低多展开,提前埋伏。
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Channel
@btc18688
On this record: Topic · Observations · Also posting the same content · Growth · Engagement · Reactions · Posts · Posts edited after publishing · Citations · Telegram's recommendations · Cite this entry
25,004subscribers
+4,478 since we began measuring on 7 August 2026
Risers and fallers across the register · movement among entries of 10,000–31,623.
| Telegram ID | -1001880448894 |
|---|---|
| Type | Channel |
| Username | @btc18688 |
| Created | Between 1 October 2022 and 30 September 2023 — estimated from Telegram’s id allocation, not measured. How this range is calculated. |
| First recorded | 7 August 2026 |
| Last confirmed live | 16 September 2026 |
| Measurements held | 33 |
| Confirmed unchanged | 1 time, most recently 16 September 2026 |
| On Telegram | t.me/btc18688 |
Crypto & trading — a classification, not a measurement. An on-box language model (Qwen3.6-35B-A3B-UD-Q6_K_XL, prompt version 1) read this channel’s own recent posts on 10 August 2026 and assigned it the closest of 31 fixed categories, at 100% confidence. This is a model’s judgement about what the channel is likely to be about, not a fact this register measured the way a subscriber count or a view count is measured — it can be revised on a later pass, and it carries no weight anywhere else on this page. How this classification works, and why it has no browse page of its own yet.
These are measurements, not verdicts. Each one below states something we counted, alongside the evidence it was counted from, so you can check it rather than take it. None of them is graded: every observation this register holds is recorded at severity 0, because the precision of the detectors behind them has not been measured yet, and a rating we cannot support is worse than none. Read each as a fact about the data, not as a judgement about the channel. How we measure.
Posts published here appear word for word on 2 other registered channels. The matching is on the text itself, not on Telegram’s forward marker, so it finds a copy whether or not it was labelled as one.
| Posted first | Then | Overlap | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| @eth77896bnb/679831 Jul 2026, 09:38 UTC | @btc18688/6842 · this entry31 Jul 2026, 09:39 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @eth77896bnb/68001 Aug 2026, 02:55 UTC | @btc18688/6844 · this entry1 Aug 2026, 02:56 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @btc18688/6858 · this entry3 Aug 2026, 14:53 UTC | @eth77896bnb/68143 Aug 2026, 14:53 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @eth77896bnb/68204 Aug 2026, 02:46 UTC | @btc18688/6861 · this entry4 Aug 2026, 02:46 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @eth77896bnb/68225 Aug 2026, 07:51 UTC | @btc18688/6863 · this entry5 Aug 2026, 07:51 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| @eth77896bnb/68237 Aug 2026, 07:27 UTC | @btc18688/6864 · this entry7 Aug 2026, 07:28 UTC | 1.00 | under a minute |
| Channel | Matching posts | Text overlap | Typical gap | Published first |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| @eth77896bnb | 9 (7/8 hand-verifiable sample passed) | 1.00 | under a minute | @eth77896bnb (7–2) |
| @qqbtceth1688 | 8 (7/8 hand-verifiable sample passed) | 1.00 | under a minute | this entry (8–0) |
Text overlap is the Jaccard coefficient over the set of distinct three-word phrases in the two bodies: 1.00 is identical wording, and the threshold for counting a pair at all is 0.70. Candidates are generated by simhash LSH (4 x 16-bit bands, exact Hamming <= 3) verified against the bodies with Jaccard over the SET of distinct 3-word shingles. Published first counts which side of each matching pair carries the earlier timestamp — in this corpus, which is the limitation directly below.
What this cannot establish
MEASURED, DOMINANT ERROR SOURCE: a post ingested before 2026-08-06 may have carried a forward header that was not recorded. A 45-pair hand-check against live t.me pages found 14 (31%) where the live page shows a forward header naming the other channel and the database has none, plus 4 more (9%) naming a third party. The text match itself was wrong 0 times out of 45. Read attribution_capture.items_in_trusted_window before treating the unattributed count as a claim.
Telegram lets a channel forward a post with a header naming the source, and we only began reliably recording that header on 2026-08-06. 2 of the 7 matches recorded here fall after that date and carried no header when we read them. The rest predate reliable capture and are not evidence either way.
“Published first” means first in this corpus. We hold 10 comparable posts for this entry, running 31 July 2026 to 7 August 2026. A channel we have read one page deep will look younger than a neighbour we have read in full, and the order would flip with no change in the underlying facts.
The detector’s own notes on this observation, as it recorded them. Names in this_style are fields of the underlying evidence record, which the plain-English paragraphs above read out for this entry.
Across the whole group of 3, the earliest publisher we hold is @eth77896bnb. That is a statement about our reading window, not a claim of authorship.
Recorded under the keys clone_copy · clone_source, last confirmed 7 August 2026. An observation that a later pass no longer finds is cleared, and a cleared observation is removed from this page rather than being shown struck through — we do not keep publishing a claim we have withdrawn. Dispute an observation.
This channel’s posts match, word for word or near enough, posts on 2 other registered channels, found by comparing text fingerprints across every channel on the register. That matching has been checked by hand against the live Telegram pages and found reliable — 0 wrong of 45 pairs re-read.
Which channel, if either, published first is deliberately not shown. The same hand-check found that reading wrong 18 of 45 times — 60%, no better than a coin flip — because it depends on how deep our own crawl happened to reach into each channel’s history, not on when the content was actually first posted. This list is ordered by subscriber count, the same as every other listing on this site, never by which channel we think came first. Word-for-word matching has several ordinary explanations besides copying — a channel mirroring itself, an unattributed repost, or two channels independently repeating the same wire story — and this measurement cannot tell those apart. How this is measured.
| Measured (UTC) | Subscribers | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2026, 21:41 | 25,004 | +263 |
| 15 Sept 2026, 02:40 | 24,741 | +303 |
| 13 Sept 2026, 09:19 | 24,438 | +271 |
| 11 Sept 2026, 15:01 | 24,167 | +499 |
| 9 Sept 2026, 01:18 | 23,668 | +580 |
| 5 Sept 2026, 14:38 | 23,088 | +122 |
| 3 Sept 2026, 18:15 | 22,966 | +144 |
| 2 Sept 2026, 08:18 | 22,822 | +79 |
| 1 Sept 2026, 05:26 | 22,743 | +112 |
| 31 Aug 2026, 02:25 | 22,631 | +130 |
| 30 Aug 2026, 01:06 | 22,501 | +105 |
| 29 Aug 2026, 01:57 | 22,396 | +53 |
| 28 Aug 2026, 02:53 | 22,343 | +58 |
| 27 Aug 2026, 00:35 | 22,285 | +74 |
| 26 Aug 2026, 01:04 | 22,211 | +109 |
| 24 Aug 2026, 23:43 | 22,102 | +113 |
| 23 Aug 2026, 13:46 | 21,989 | +105 |
| 22 Aug 2026, 03:04 | 21,884 | +97 |
| 20 Aug 2026, 22:35 | 21,787 | +108 |
| 19 Aug 2026, 19:52 | 21,679 | first reading |
44 posts held, back to 31 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 58 pages of Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views — note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate.
| Window | Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 3 September 2026 |
|---|---|
| Posts held | 44 (31 July 2026 – 3 September 2026) |
| Views total | 131,540 |
| Reactions total | 1,459 |
| Forwards / comments | not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated |
| Readings taken | 3 Sept 2026, 12:16 UTC |
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
2,765 reactions across 42 posts, in 8 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 36.4% of them.
| Reaction | Count | Share | Share, drawn |
|---|---|---|---|
| ❤ | 1,006 | 36.4% | |
| 👍 | 898 | 32.5% | |
| 🔥 | 846 | 30.6% | |
| 🥰 | 10 | 0.362% | |
| 💯 | 2 | 0.072% | |
| 💋 | 1 | 0.036% | |
| 💘 | 1 | 0.036% | |
| 🙏 | 1 | 0.036% |
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 42 of the 44 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 2,765 reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 44 most recent posts we hold, published 31 July 2026 to 3 September 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
本周五非农数据将成关键变量。 杰克逊霍尔会议后,沃什偏鹰表态已将9月加息概率推升至近70%, 叠加下周一美国劳工节休市,美股连续三天停盘,波动将集中在非农公布时段集中释放。 BTC当前处于高位回落后的修复阶段,本身存在回调压力。 非农虽为催化剂,但难以单方面改变结构。 中线策略围绕80,000-82,000美元附近分批高空、73,000-75,000美元附近分批低多展开,提前埋伏。
❤12👍11🥰7🔥5
09月02日 比特币以太坊行情分析 美伊军事冲突全面升级,油价飙升至94美元上方,持续推升通胀与加息预期,风险资产短期承压。比特币凌晨插针破低后快速收回,完成流动性清扫,75.5-76k支撑区附近资金托底迹象明显。短期思路逐步向多头靠拢,日内76.5k附近可短多,目标78.5k上方。大级别仍等待75k附近建仓机会。当前以试仓为主。 以太坊当前处于美伊冲突升级冲击、加息预期持续升温、ETF资金逆势净流入的三重格局中。地缘风险推高油价并强化加息预期,压制风险偏好;但ETF连续15日净流入、中期多头结构未破,形成坚实底部支撑。短期波动难免,但中期偏多格局尚未改变。 操作建议: 日內支撐位:75,500—76,000 做多 日內阻力位:79,200—79,800 做空 💀今日策略已出,欢迎加入会员群,实时跟上策略布局。💀 财富列车跟单咨询👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车备用联系👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车试单…
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这波行情没有上车的尽快私信 私信即可获取点位。直接找戴哥
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现在有好点位可以做。需要做的私信我。 联系戴哥唯一TG:✈️ https://t.me/BDaiydaige
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比特币8月强势收官,9月关注宏观变量与中期支撑 比特币8月月线收出饱满阳线,涨幅接近25%,对中期趋势形成较强引导。9月宏观事件密集——非农、CPI、FOMC点阵图将接连落地,高油价背景下,风险资产波动率预计进一步放大。月线结构偏多,除非月中会议意外宣布加息,否则本月收阴概率较低。短期小级别头肩形态已显现,追多性价比不高,等待回踩77,000下方更为合理。中期关注74,000-75,000中枢下沿,以此为支撑博弈4小时反弹延伸,上方目标仍看82,000附近。
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【戴哥VIP会员群】 ETH多单浮盈55点。
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08月31日 比特币以太坊行情分析 近期比特币走势随宏观面波动明显,地缘局势再度升温,市场风险偏好受到压制。周线开盘前价格已回落至77,000美元附近,短期空头占据主动。从结构来看,本轮回调尚未结束,下方目标看向75,500—76,000美元区间,该区域是前期筹码密集区,也是重要的潜在支撑带,短期仍以震荡调整思路应对。 以太坊近期价格已跌破前期低点,主要受场外宏观利空因素影响,跌幅明显大于比特币,市场情绪偏弱。当前下方关键支撑区位于2310-2330美元附近,该区域是前期筹码密集带,也是短期多头最后的防守阵地。 操作建议: 日內支撐位:75,500—76,000 做多 日內阻力位:80,200—80,800 做空 💀今日策略已出,欢迎加入会员群,实时跟上策略布局。💀 财富列车跟单咨询👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车备用联系👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车试单体验😐 免费试单群
❤31🔥23👍21
08月29日 比特币以太坊行情分析 比特币昨日受沃什鹰派讲话冲击,从81.5k急跌至77k下方,9月加息概率升至55.7%。但ETF连续8日净流入约28亿美元,长期牛市结构未破。短期关注76.5-77k支撑,守住则有望重返80k;失守则可能回踩75k甚至73.7k。沃什弱化前瞻指引后,市场在下一次议息会议前,比特币仍可能受到通胀数据和利率预期变化影响而波动. 以太坊处于 "沃什鹰派冲击、ETF资金逆势托底、中期多头格局未破" 的回调消化格局。 操作建议: 回调至:75,000-76,500 分批做多 💀今日策略已出,欢迎加入会员群,实时跟上策略布局。💀 财富列车跟单咨询👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车备用联系👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车试单体验😐 免费试单群
❤31👍22🔥20
08月28日 比特币以太坊行情分析 比特币处于 “ETF资金持续托底、技术面超买、杰克逊霍尔讲话一触即发” 的敏感节点,在80k美元关口反复拉锯,最高触及81.5k,距82-83k关键区域仅一步之遥。该位置是空头止损密集区与长期持有者供给带的共振压力位,短期难以有效突破。8万以上追多盈亏比极低,本周横盘缺乏回调,价格有回踩74-76k的需求。今日关注78.5k支撑,若跌破则形成双重背离,可考虑转空思路。 以太坊昨日率先拉升,但今日比特币突破新高时ETH未能同步跟进,表明短期相对强度有所减弱,在联动效应减弱的情况下,追高操作的风险明显加大。 操作建议:反抽至81,800-82,300 做空 💀今日策略已出,欢迎加入会员群,实时跟上策略布局。💀 财富列车跟单咨询👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车备用联系👁 Daiy戴哥 财富列车试单体验😐 免费试单群
❤27👍27🔥20🥰1
🔥【戴哥VIP会员群】 🔥 比特币77,690多单再次止盈超2000多点,行情节奏与预判完全吻合。 结合历史策略看,无论是进场卡位还是离场时机, 戴哥都做到了精准高效。 交易不需要花哨,看懂趋势、执行信号,利润自然来。 技术在手,节奏我有。 🎉 戴哥历经多年牛熊,专注以技术、经验、服务、人品助你稳健致富。切莫错过真正能带你重回巅峰的人。🎉 📲 戴哥唯一联系方式:https://t.me/BDaiydaige
❤32👍28🔥26🥰1
当前约85%的山寨币资金费率已升至各自平均水平以上。该指标创下自比特币(BTC)处于历史高点时期以来的最高水平,标志着山寨市场正式进入乐观状态。 历史规律表明,这种乐观的资金费率环境在“山寨季”期间通常能持续数周。市场热度已经起来了,想做翻仓分红单的朋友。可以直接私聊我们。 联系戴哥唯一TG:✈️ https://t.me/BDaiydaige
❤31👍19🔥17
私信我。直接拿点位。给大家发一波福利
👍33❤27🔥24💘1
Showing the 12 most recent of 44 posts we hold for @btc18688. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
@btc18688 edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Named by 1 registered channel — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Telegram’s own answer, not this register’s. When this register asks Telegram’s API what is similar to this channel, this is the list it returns, in the exact order Telegram returns it — never re-sorted by subscribers or by anything else this register measures. The relationship, and the order, are Telegram’s; we record them and date them, and make no claim of our own about which of these channels actually resemble this one.
Read from Telegram’s recommendation API, most recently 15 September 2026. Telegram holds a list like this for a small and growing share of the register — how this is measured, and why most channel pages show nothing here.
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
This channel appears in 15 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 16 September 2026 — this entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“以太坊币圈行情分析频道” (@btc18688), 25,004 subscribers as measured 16 September 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/btc18688.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.