Политика и экономика России во всех их проявлениях
Связь - @k_dvinsky
Канал по инвестициям - https://t.me/dvinsky_invest
Max - https://max.ru/dvinsky
Дзен - https://dzen.ru/dvinsky
Регистрация в РКН № 4776825746
Created
12 January 2021 — measured — cross-checked against a third-party dataset (ext.tg_channel)
17 measurements spanning 16 days, net +70. Dots are measurements; the straight line between them is drawn to join them, not to claim we know the path taken in between — snapshots are recorded only when a count changes, so gaps mean “no change observed”, never “interpolated”. The vertical axis spans 29,564–29,671 and does not start at zero.
Measurement log — every subscribers count we have recorded
Measured (UTC)
Subscribers
Change
22 Aug 2026, 01:58
29,659
+9
20 Aug 2026, 21:26
29,650
+30
19 Aug 2026, 22:07
29,620
+16
18 Aug 2026, 22:06
29,604
-4
17 Aug 2026, 19:47
29,608
+12
16 Aug 2026, 15:54
29,596
+1
14 Aug 2026, 20:25
29,595
-19
13 Aug 2026, 13:07
29,614
-6
12 Aug 2026, 13:05
29,620
-1
11 Aug 2026, 13:02
29,621
+6
10 Aug 2026, 13:24
29,615
+1
9 Aug 2026, 11:32
29,614
+27
8 Aug 2026, 08:41
29,587
+11
7 Aug 2026, 11:06
29,576
-10
6 Aug 2026, 09:10
29,586
-3
6 Aug 2026, 01:52
29,589
no change
5 Aug 2026, 23:00
29,589
first reading
Engagement
98 posts held, back to 29 July 2026 — the reader has not yet reached the start of this channel’s public history, so older posts may sit further back, unread. Read across 40 pagesof Telegram’s post history, 20 posts per page.
ERR · 30 days
19.4%
avg views ÷ 29,659 subscribers
Avg views / post
5,760
98 posts measured
Reaction rate
2.56%
reactions ÷ views · ER floor
Posts in window
98
of 98 held
ERR is average views per post over the last 30 days divided by subscribers, the definition TGStat uses, so this figure is comparable with the one you will see elsewhere. It falls structurally as a channel grows: a high ERR on a small channel and a low one on a large channel describe reach mathematics, not quality. We publish the figure and the sample it came from and pass no verdict on it.
ER is defined industry-wide as (forwards + reactions + comments) ÷ views— note the denominator is views, not subscribers. Telegram’s public web preview carries views and reactions but not forward or comment counts, so the reaction rate above is the reactions term only and is therefore a floor: the true ER for this channel is higher by an amount we have not measured and will not estimate. It is computed over the 97 of 98 measured posts that carry a reaction reading, and over those same posts' views.
What these figures were computed from
Window
Rolling 30 days · latest post in window 22 August 2026
Posts held
98 (29 July 2026 – 22 August 2026)
Views total
564,080
Reactions total
14,404
Forwards / comments
not exposed by the public surface — not measured, not estimated
Readings taken
22 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC
Views are a single reading per post, taken at the time above. A post published in the last day or two is still accumulating views, which pulls the 30-day average down slightly. That is a property of the standard definition rather than a fault in it, so we keep the definition rather than “correcting” the number into something nobody can reproduce.
Precision. Telegram publishes view counts on its public widget in short form — 8.12K, 3.7M — so any reading at or above 1,000 reaches us rounded to three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. Averages and rates derived from them are shown to the same precision rather than to the unit: a figure like 3,701,250 would assert digits nobody measured.
Reaction counts are published per emoji and rounded the same way, so a total below 1,000 is exact and a larger one is a sum that may carry a rounded component from each emoji above 1,000. Because it is a sum, it does not look rounded — read a large reaction total as three significant figures per contributing emoji rather than as the figure it prints.
What this channel posts
Photos
≈2,290
Videos
≈1,330
Links
≈4,720
Lifetime counters from Telegram’s own channel header, read 22 August 2026 — not the date at the top of this page, which is when the subscriber count was last read. A count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints these counters in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈142,000 means somewhere between 141,500 and 142,499.
Video runtime
7h 08m
Average length
42m 52s
Measured directly from 10 videos with a duration reading, out of the posts we hold for this channel — not this channel’s whole posting history, only the sample this register has actually read. An exact reading to the second, taken from the post itself rather than from Telegram’s own rounded chrome, so it carries no ≈ mark.
Reaction mix
14,025 reactions across 94 posts, in 14 distinct kinds. The most used accounts for 45.8% of them.
Every reaction kind recorded on the sample, most used first
Reaction
Count
Share
Share, drawn
👍
6,430
45.8%
💯
2,677
19.1%
🤬
999
7.12%
❤
976
6.96%
🔥
809
5.77%
🤣
714
5.09%
🤔
619
4.41%
👏
339
2.42%
🙏
281
2.00%
👎
87
0.62%
😢
53
0.378%
💊
17
0.121%
🫡
13
0.093%
😱
11
0.078%
No sentiment is inferred, and none should be read in. This table is ordered by count and by nothing else. Emoji do not carry stable meaning across languages or communities — 🙏 is thanks in one channel and mourning in another — so we publish which ones were pressed and how often, and pass no judgement on what an audience meant by them.
Precision. Telegram publishes reaction counts per emoji and short-forms each one — 4.34K, 1.2M — so any single kind at or above 1,000 reaches us at three significant figures, and only counts below 1,000 are exact. The shares above are ratios of those figures and carry the same error. This is also why the total here can differ slightly from a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page: both are sums of the same rounded parts, taken over samples with different edges.
Coverage. Reactions were read on 97 of the 98 sampled posts in this sample. Summed by Telegram’s own count on each post — not by adding up the per-emoji breakdown above — those same posts carry 14,404reactions in total: the kind of figure the paragraph above means by “a reaction total printed elsewhere on the page”.
Measured over the 98 most recent posts we hold, published 29 July 2026 to 22 August 2026, using the newest reading held for each. Telegram Stars are excluded: they are a payment, not a reaction, and they have their own section.
Advertising
Ad load
1.02%
1 of 98 posts carry an ad marker
Regulatory tokens
1
posts carrying an erid · 1 distinct token
Median views · ads
3,390
over 1 measured post
Median views · rest
4,210
over 97 measured posts
An ad marker, not a judgement about a post. A post is counted here because it carries one of two explicit markings: an erid token, which Russian law has required on paid placements since 2022 and which is issued against a specific advertising contract, or a #реклама / #ad hashtag in the body, which is the channel declaring it itself. The first is documentary; the second is a self-declaration and is weaker. No classifier reads the text and decides — nothing on this site guesses that a post is an advertisement.
This is a floor, and it can only ever be a floor.A channel that runs paid placements without marking them produces no marker for us to count, and an unmarked ad is indistinguishable from an ordinary post on the public surface. The ad load above therefore means “the share of posts that declared themselves”, never “the share of posts that were paid for”. A low figure is not evidence of a channel that runs few ads.
Both figures are medians, and no ratio between them is published. Each is a view reading that actually occurred on a post, picked by percentile_disc rather than averaged, so one viral post cannot move it and no interpolated value is invented between two readings. The sample on one side is under five posts, which is too thin to compare. The two figures are shown side by side with the count behind each, and deliberately not divided into a headline like “ads get x% fewer views” — an arithmetic that is easy to print and, at this sample size, means nothing.
Advertising tokens recorded on this entry
erid
Posts
First seen
Last seen
2W5zFHtFQwj
1
12 August 2026
12 August 2026
A token repeated across several posts is one advertising contract placed more than once, which is what the identifier is for. The strings are reproduced exactly as they appeared in the post or in its click-through URL and are not validated against any registry — we record the marker a channel published, and whether it resolves to a real contract is a question for the register that issued it.
Measured over the 98 most recent posts we hold, published 29 July 2026 to 22 August 2026. Views are the latest single reading held for each post, and any reading at or above 1,000 is rounded by Telegram to three significant figures.
В России запустили цифровую платформу для найма мигрантов. Первой страной-участником стала Индия. На платформе представлены зарубежные рекрутеры и отечественные посредники.
Как я и писал раньше, сам по себе найм рабочей силы из за рубежа не является чем-то негативным, так как действительно есть области, где это обоснованно. Тот же низкоквалифицированный труд. В идеале — заменять на роботов, но пока что мы к этому то…
По данным противника, КНДР впервые передала России баллистические ракеты KN-30. Киевский режим также указывает, что к июлю этого года у нас уже было около 50 северокорейских ракет трех типо KN-23, KN-24 и KN-30.
Кроме этого, для обслуживания баллистики в Воронежскую область предположительно было направлено примерно 90 военнослужащих из КНДР.
При характеристике вооружения противник ссылается на заявления Пхеньяна. П…
Роботизация в очередной раз доказывает свою эффективность. На этот раз в сфере здравоохранения.
С марта 2026 года роботы-доставщики "Яндекса" перевезли более трех тонн грузов в московских больницах.
Согласно данным департамента здравоохранения Москвы, в двух стационарах столицы в тестовом режиме работают шесть роботов. Они выполнили около 8 тыс. внутрибольничных доставок, а также помогли персоналу сэкономить более …
Доля ипотечного платежа в доходах москвичей снизилась за год с 80% до 67%.
Казалось бы, хорошая новость, но не тут-то было. Ипотека доступней не стала, так как подорожание жилья по-прежнему значительно опережает рост зарплат. Просто спрос в столице уходит в элитное жилье, где доля первого взноса сильно выше, а доля жилищного кредита — меньше.
В июне 2026 года средний ежемесячный платеж по ипотеке за квартиру в моск…
Золотые резервы Банка России опустились до минимума с января 2020 года. На 1 августа их объем составил 73,2 млн унций. С начала года запасы сократились еще на 1,5 млн унций.
Причина проста: золото из резервов продолжают продавать. При этом регулярные закупки драгоценного металла на внутреннем рынке ЦБ прекратил еще в апреле 2020 года.
Ранее я уже писал о парадоксальной ситуации: Россия — один из крупнейших производ…
В Москве впервые операцию по замене тазобедренного сустава провел робот.
В московских больницах роботы уже помогают проводить иные операции, устанавливать протезы и т.д. Конечно, такие манипуляции не проводятся без участия человека, который подготавливает и контролирует процесс.
Если технологическое развитие достигло такого уровня, что мы доверяем рjботам вмешательства в человеческий организм, иначе говоря, доверяе…
Трафик торговых центров за первое полугодие этого года сократился в среднем на 4,7% г/г.
В сравнении с допандемийным уровнем падение составило 27%. Наибольшее снижение показала Москва и Московская область — 8,5% за первое полугодие 2026-го.
В начале августа также приводил данные о закрытии более 2 тыс. московских ТЦ и росте свободных торговых площадей.
Значит ли это, что привычные нам ТЦ изживают себя? Во многом, …
Доходы падают, долги растут. Что происходит с бюджетами регионов
🎬 Youtube
📱 ВК Видео
Обсуждаем перезапуск инвестиционного цикла, положение региональных бюджетов и предложения по новой модели развития российской экономики.
Для технологического обновления нужны инвестиции на горизонте 3–5 лет и более, однако бизнес сейчас не может нормально планировать даже на полгода вперёд. Одновременно число регионов с растущи…
Силуанов заявил, что программы финансового оздоровления регионов дадут бюджетный эффект более 800 млрд рублей к 2027 году. Программа включает в себя снижение долговой нагрузки на региональные финансы и высвобождение средств для других расходов.
Помимо этого, Минфин предлагает перенести погашение 1/3 задолженности по бюджетным кредитам на 2031-33 гг. (сейчас выплаты запланированы на 27-29 гг.). Отмечается, что за сче…
Представители киевского режима заявляют, что многие крупные украинские компании находятся на грани остановки работы из-за наших системных ударов — украинский бизнес в отчаянии, которого еще никогда не было. Среди компаний: "Новая Почта", "Сильпо", "АТБ", "Розетка", "Эпицентр".
В частности, "Розетка" — крупнейший украинский маркетплейс — потеряла 70 млн долларов; "Эпицентр" лишился самого современного в Европе завода…
Большая рокировка маркетплейсов: Вайлдберриз сдает позиции, Озон идет на обгон. Яндекс, Т-Банк, Позитив, Аренадата / Илья Воробьёв в Клубе Двинского
В новом выпуске обсуждаем с автором проекта Long Term Investment Ильёй Воробьёвым, что происходит с российским IT после бурного периода импортозамещения и какие компании сохраняют потенциал роста.
Предыдущий этап закончился: спрос охлаждается, льготы постепенно сокраща…
👍37❤6🤣3
Showing the 12 most recent of 98 posts we hold for @Kdvinsky. View and reaction counts are the latest single reading for each post, not a live figure, and a recent post is still accumulating both. A view count marked ≈ was rounded by Telegram before we ever saw it — t.me prints views in full below 1,000 and to three significant figures above, so ≈1,200,000 means somewhere between 1,150,000 and 1,249,999. Unmarked counts are exact. Text is reproduced from the public post preview and truncated for length.
Posts edited after publishing
@Kdvinsky edited 1 post after it first published — the same permalink now carries different wording than the one this register originally read, caught because our own crawl held a copy of the earlier text.
An edit is not deception. Typo fixes, price updates and corrections look exactly like this too — this register can tell you the wording changed and when, not why. How this is measured.
First edit seen
21 August 2026
Most recent edit
21 August 2026
Citation-graph rank
Citation-graph rank — 11,285 of 1,583,249entries in the measured graph. A weighted position computed from the forward and mention edges below — republished posts weigh more than named mentions — and recomputed periodically, over the whole graph. Published only as this ordinal position, never as a score: a position is a fact, and a score printed beside one channel’s name would read as a verdict this register does not make. The two counts beneath stay separate for the same reason mentions are never summed with forwards anywhere else on this page — a named-by count costs nothing to manufacture. The top 100 by this measure, or how it is computed.
Forward network
Republished by
Channels on the register that have forwarded this channel's posts into their own feed.
Built only from forwarded posts we have actually read, on both sides. Coverage is early and deliberately incomplete: a missing link means we have not read the post that would prove it, never that the relationship does not exist. Counts are distinct forwarded posts observed, so they only ever go up as we read more.
Mentions
Named by 32 registered channels — every channel on the register whose own posts have named this one, by its current username or any other username it currently holds, merged from two separately captured readings of the same fact so a namer caught by only one of them is not missed and a namer both caught is not counted twice. A username this channel has since dropped is not matched — that handle may belong to someone else now, and crediting today’s namer to yesterday’s owner would misattribute it. The 24 listed below are the most frequent namers; the rest are counted above but not each listed.
Named by
Channels on the register whose posts name this channel's handle.
A mention is a weaker signal than a forward and is counted separately for that reason — naming a channel is not republishing it, and a handle in a post body is easy to place deliberately. The post counts beside each row below are distinct posts in which the handle appeared, from posts we have read on both sides — the “Named by N registered channels” figure above is a different count, of distinct NAMING CHANNELS rather than posts, and is not the sum of the rows under it.
Appears in Telegram’s recommendations for other channels
The reverse of the list above, and a different kind of signal. This does not require this channel to have ever been asked about directly — each row below is a channel we DID ask Telegram about, whose Telegram-generated list happened to include this one. A channel can appear here with an empty list above it, because being named by someone else’s query is independent of having been queried itself.
Чёрный Лебедь @swaneconomy · 135,220 Telegram ranks this channel #18 of 91 here — alongside 90 others — read 13 August 2026
РУССТРАТ @russtrat · 109,160 Telegram ranks this channel #33 of 92 here — alongside 91 others — read 14 August 2026
This channel appears in 2 seed channels' Telegram-generated recommendation lists in total. Each is Telegram’s list for THAT channel, not this one — see how this is measured.
Cite this entry
A live page changes as we take new readings, so a citation should name the measurement it is based on, not just the URL. The line below cites the subscriber count as measured 22 August 2026 — this
entry's latest reading, not the date you are reading this.
“Константин Двинский” (@Kdvinsky), 29,659 subscribers as measured 22 August 2026. Telegram Register, tgregister.com/channel/Kdvinsky.
Full measurement history, CC BY 4.0. Every reading this register holds for this entry, not just the latest one, as a dated, downloadable record: CSV · JSON. Free to use with attribution to tgregister.com. Each file carries its own generation timestamp, which is the figure to cite for exactly when the data was retrieved.